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Louis Freeh, private eye

Written By limadu on Kamis, 25 Juli 2013 | 23.53

FRE12 louis freeh

Freeh found that he craved the nitty-gritty of casework.

(Fortune)

Needless to say, it's been decades since Freeh chased those sorts of perps. These days most of his targets tend to wear white collars, and Freeh has assumed a new mantle: corporate America's most prominent private investigator. In July he was assigned to probe alleged irregularities in the BP oil-spill claims process. That comes on the heels of investigations or oversight roles for Daimler, MF Global, Wynn Resorts, and FIFA, the organization that governs world soccer. Freeh's most headline-grabbing report excoriated Penn State University officials for failing to oversee Jerry Sandusky, the former assistant football coach now in prison for sexually abusing boys.


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Europe's new Iron Lady

MER22 angela merkel

President Obama visited Merkel at the postmodern Chancellery building in Berlin in June.

(Fortune)

There are few better ways to gauge Germany's unique place in history, past and present, than to take a spin in one of its latest engineering marvels up a street named for the founding father of Communism, where Soviet tanks shot dead dozens of unarmed protesters in 1953. Sixty years later, both Germany's era of Nazi dictatorship and the Cold War that followed are fading from consciousness. Berlin is now the pulsating heart of Germany and home to the single most critical person in resolving Europe's economic crisis: German Chancellor Angela Merkel.


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Enter the disrupters

(Fortune)

"Yo," the hipster replied with a smarmy aura of self-importance. "I suppose I should introduce myself. I'm a disrupter, and I'm here to disrupt whatever it is you think you're doing, drain it of value, and replace it with something else entirely."

"Get off my property," I replied as cordially as I could. "Not only are you trespassing, but you're obnoxious."


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Glimmer of hope for unemployed Spaniards

spanish unemployment

Spain's unemployment unexpectedly fell in the second quarter.

LONDON (CNNMoney)

The jobless rate in the second quarter still stood at an eye-catching 26.3%, with nearly 6 million Spaniards still out of work, according to a report from the National Statistics Institute.

But that's an improvement from the previous quarter, when unemployment stood at a stark 27.2%.

"The Spanish government has undertaken a bitter battle to stabilize growing unemployment, and it seems to be gaining ground," said Nancy Curtin, chief investment officer at Close Brothers Asset Management.

Related: U.K. economy picks up pace

Spain wasn't the only European country bearing good news.

Germany's closely watched Ifo business sentiment index rose for a third consecutive month, and the U.K. economy grew 0.6% in the second quarter, doubling the rate of growth from the first three months of the year.

"Firms remain cautiously optimistic with regard to their future business outlook. Conditions in the German economy remain fair," Germany's Ifo Institute said in a statement.

A day earlier, Markit's purchasing managers' index surprised economists with a jump to 50.4 in July. Any figure above 50 signals growth. It was also its strongest reading in 18 months.

While the economic situation in Europe remains fragile, some experts were optimistic that the eurozone may finally be out of the danger zone.

"Contrary to widespread market perceptions, the eurozone recession ended when the snow melted last Easter," said Berenberg bank's chief economist, Holger Schmieding.

"After six quarters of decline, the eurozone returned to modest growth in Q2. Leading indicators project a gain in momentum for the second half of 2013 ... With luck, the eurozone can soon enjoy a virtuous circle," he said. To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 7:28 AM ET


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Time Warner Cable delays CBS cut-off

cbs under the dome

CBS shows such as "Under the Dome" are at risk of not being seen by Time Warner Cable customers due to a dispute between the network and cable operator.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The dispute between the network and cable operator could also cut off pay cable network Showtime for all Time Warner Cable customers. Showtime is owned by CBS.

Time Warner Cable spokeswoman Maureen Huff said the agreement to extend talks came about 11 p.m. ET Wednesday. The new deadline is 5 p.m. ET Monday. Huff said there is still no long-term deal and that negotiations are continuing.

The dispute is over the fees that CBS (CBS, Fortune 500) receives from Time Warner Cable (TWC, Fortune 500) for carrying the affiliates that it owns and operates itself. The 3 million customers affected by these talks are mostly in New York, Los Angeles and Dallas, but subscribers in Chicago, Boston, Pittsburgh, Detroit and Denver are also at risk.

CBS affiliates elsewhere are owned by other companies that hold their own negotiations with cable operators.

The dispute threatens to cut off access to shows such as CBS' summer hit "Under the Dome" as well as Showtime original series "Dexter" and "Ray Donovan"

Related: What digital network TV execs fear most

CBS could not be reached for comment. It has been running TV commercials warning customers in the affected cities of the negotiations and that "Time Warner Cable is threatening to hold your favorite shows hostage."

Time Warner Cable, which was spun off from CNNMoney parent Time Warner Inc. (TWX, Fortune 500) in 2009, has responded with its own Web site saying that CBS is demanding 600% more than the cable operator pays for the network shows in other cities. To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 7:45 AM ET


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GM narrows European loss, improves profit at home

general motors earnings 072513

General Motors reported strong earnings in North America and smaller losses in Europe.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

GM said Thursday it earned $1.2 billion, or 75 cents a share, in the quarter, down from $1.5 billion it earned a year earlier. But excluding special items, the drop in earnings was not as bad as forecast by analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters, and shares of GM (GM, Fortune 500) rose in premarket trading.

Revenue rose $1.1 billion to $38.2 billion, as the number of vehicles sold worldwide rose 4% to 2.5 million. Sales volume was flat in China, now the largest market for car sales, and down in Europe, but increased 7% in North America.

Related: J.D. Power ranks GM tops in quality for first time

Earnings in North America rose 4% to just under $2 billion on the improved sales, and the company also hired 6% more North American workers from a year earlier, primarily white collar jobs such as engineers. It also trimmed prior-year losses in Europe by 72%, taking losses down to $110 million. But earnings in the international unit that includes China and Asia tumbled 64% to $228 million.

The results were similar to those reported Wednesday by rival Ford Motor (F, Fortune 500), which also beat forecasts and raised its earnings guidance on reduced losses in Europe and strong North American results. To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 8:15 AM ET


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SAC Capital hit with criminal charges

steven cohen sac capital

SAC has earned a reputation for being one of the world's most profitable hedge funds.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The indictment charges that the hedge fund was guilty of both "unlawful conduct by individual employees and an institutional indifference to that unlawful conduct."

The government alleges a pattern of insider trading that was "substantial, pervasive and on a scale without known precedent in the hedge fund industry."

SAC Capital did not immediately reply to CNNMoney's requests for comment.

The indictment charges that the insider trading started in 1999, and that the firm hired research analysts and money managers specifically because they possessed insider information.

The insider trading resulted in "hundreds of millions" of dollars of illegal profits and "avoided losses" for the hedge fund, according to the indictment, which says the firm should forfeit all that money as part of its penalty.

The indictment follows a wide-ranging investigation that has already implicated more than half-a-dozen current or former SAC employees.

Cohen himself has not been charged criminally, though the Securities and Exchange Commission announced civil charges against him last week, accusing him of failing to supervise employees who engaged in insider trading.

Investigators have been circling Cohen and SAC for years. The firm agreed in March to pay the SEC roughly $615 million in connection with alleged insider trading by employees including two portfolio managers, Mathew Martoma and Michael Steinberg.

Martoma and Steinberg have already been charged criminally and are awaiting trial. Both have pleaded not guilty.

Martoma is accused of selling and shorting shares of the pharmaceutical companies Elan (ELN) and Wyeth based on inside information from drug trials that had not been publicized. The trades allegedly allowed SAC to generate profits and avoid losses worth $276 million in total.

Steinberg is accused of insider trading in Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) and Nvidia (NVDA) stock. An analyst who reported to Steinberg, Jon Horvath, has already pleaded guilty and is cooperating with prosecutors.

Related: Wall Street sheriff says no one too big to indict

Investors have been fleeing SAC in droves over the past few months as the firm's legal troubles have mounted.

The indictment of the firm makes matters worse. The Justice Department could permanently shutter SAC, which reportedly employs about 1,000 people, with a conviction in the case.

The SEC, meanwhile, is seeking to bar Cohen for managing investor funds. He could also be barred from the financial services industry.

Even if the firm is closed and Cohen himself faces sanctions, he could still manage the massive personal fortune he has invested with SAC, said Jacob Frenkel, a former federal prosecutor and SEC lawyer. As of May, Cohen accounted for $7 billion out of the roughly $15 billion managed by SAC, according to Bloomberg.

Nonetheless, the criminal charges against SAC represent a significant step.

Prosecutors have generally been reluctant to indict companies since accounting firm Arthur Andersen essentially collapsed a decade ago -- taking down nearly 28,000 jobs -- after being convicted in connection with the Enron scandal, said Michael Clark, a defense lawyer and former federal prosecutor. The conviction was later overturned by the Supreme Court.

Subsidiaries of global banks Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and UBS (UBS) have pleaded guilty in the past few months to criminal charges in connection with the Libor rate-rigging scandal, though those pleas didn't affect the firms' ability to operate in the United States.

-- CNNMoney's Chris Isidore and Maureen Farrell contributed to this report. To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 9:58 AM ET


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Blue chips under pressure as earnings roll on

Dow 11:18

Click chart for more stock market data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.3% The Nasdaq gained about 0.2% getting a lift from Facebook's strong earnings report.

The drop in the Dow and S&P 500 comes after both indexes reached record highs earlier in the week. All three indexes have gained more than 18% so far this year.

More than a third of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported second-quarter results so far, according to S&P Capital IQ. As of Thursday morning, 66% had topped analysts' lowered expectations.

Click here for more on stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies

The Facebook effect: Shares of Facebook (FB) surged more than 25% Thursday, a day after the social networking site posted strong quarterly results, led by a marked improvement in its mobile business.

"Facebook is the one driving the Nasdaq and 25% is a powerful, powerful move" said Joseph Saluzzi, a partner at Themis Trading.

The momentum propelled Zynga's (ZNGA) stock, as well. The app developer has games on Facebook.

Mixed bag of earnings: Dow Chemical (DOW, Fortune 500) and Tripadvisor (TRIP) reported quarterly profit gains.

General Motors (GM, Fortune 500) reported an improvement in second-quarter earnings but a slowdown in China pressured overall profits.

PulteGroup (PHM) reported earnings and revenue that fell way short of forecasts. Despite the weak results, the homebuilder said the housing market was on track to recovery.

Baidu (BIDU) shares surged 14% after the Chinese Internet company reported a second quarter profit that topped analyst expectations.

Amazon (AMZN, Fortune 500) and Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500) are due to report after the close.

Related: SAC hit with criminal charges

Tepid recovery: In economic news, the government released jobless claims data Thursday morning in line with expectations. Initial claims rose to 343,000 for the week ended July 20, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week.

New orders of durable goods, also reported by the Census Bureau, surged past expectations. The number jumped by 4.2% in June to $244.5 billion and has risen for four of the past five months.

But without the nearly 13% gain in orders of transportation equipment, the numbers were not so hot. "It still gives the story of a very tepid recovery," Saluzzi said.

Related: Fear & Greed Index, still greedy

World markets in the red: European markets ended lower. London's benchmark FTSE 100 index lost almost 0.5% and Germany's DAX fell by 0.96%.

Asian markets ended with losses, even as the Chinese government announced a mini-stimulus plan that should give a boost to certain areas of the economy, including small businesses.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index lost 0.3% and the Shanghai Composite index declined by 0.6%.

In Japan, Tokyo's Nikkei fell by 1.1%. To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 9:53 AM ET


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Fed chair smackdown: Summers vs. Yellen

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Up until this week, Janet Yellen -- Bernanke's second in command -- was thought to be the frontrunner.

Now, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers is also getting a lot of attention as a strong candidate.

The differences between the two candidates are staggering. On one side, Yellen is a well-regarded economist known for leaning dovish on monetary policy and leading the Fed's push for more transparency. She brings a robust résumé filled with Federal Reserve experience, but has largely kept out of the public eye.

In the other corner is Summers, who under President Clinton, championed deregulation for Wall Street and under President Obama, was one of the architects of the fiscal stimulus package. Unlike Yellen, he is known as an aggressive personality, who often finds himself in the spotlight.

Yellen, 66, has a Yale economics Ph.D. and a 40-year career to her name, including about 13 years of experience in various Federal Reserve roles, a 2-year stint as the chairwoman of President Clinton's Council of Economic Advisers, and academic experience at the University of California, Berkeley.

On monetary policy, Yellen represents more of the same from the Fed since her views seem closely aligned with Bernanke's. Economists expect she would probably continue the central bank's efforts to stimulate the job market back to full employment, even if it means continuing the Fed's controversial bond-buying program.

Summers, 58, has a Harvard Ph.D. and is regarded as a brilliant economist, but his views on monetary policy are less well known. His experience lies mostly on the fiscal policy side.

He held several major roles in the Clinton administration, culminating as Treasury secretary. During that time, he championed legislation that repealed parts of the Glass-Steagall Act and made it possible for financial institutions to become larger than ever before, simultaneously acting as investment banks, commercial banks and insurance companies.

He also pushed back against efforts to regulate highly complex derivatives. Those two pro-Wall Street moves are now thought of as key contributors to the 2008 financial crisis.

Summers later served as president of Harvard University, and then as head of President Obama's National Economic Council, where he helped engineer the stimulus package and the auto bailout.

Related: Sheila Bair on 'Why Janet Yellen should succeed Ben Bernanke'

While Summers is famous for being bold and provocative, Yellen has the opposite reputation.

To say Summers is better known by the broader public is an understatement. He's known not only for his high level roles as Treasury secretary and Harvard president, but also for his controversial comments about women, a dramatized portrayal in The Social Network and high praise from Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg, who once worked for him and mentioned him often in her best-selling book, Lean In.

In comparison, Yellen flies under the radar. Her speeches are often deep, meticulously worded and robust with academic research, but rarely exciting enough to make front page headlines.

But to criticize her as "soft-spoken," isn't entirely fair either.

Internal Fed transcripts show that Yellen spoke up many times between 2005 and 2007, to warn her colleagues about the looming housing crisis, credit crunch, and eventual recession. At that point, other smart people at the table were still largely shrugging off those concerns.

That foresight also contrasts with Summers, who in 2005, rebuffed claims that deregulation and securitization could lead to a full-blown financial crisis.

Poll: Who do you think should be the next chair of the Federal Reserve?

Summers made another infamous gaffe that same year. He caused an uproar at Harvard, when as president of the university, he said that "issues of intrinsic aptitude," may explain why men outnumber women in science and engineering jobs.

While he apologized repeatedly for the comments, that wasn't enough to save him from outrage that ensued. The comments have haunted his reputation ever since, even leading Sandberg to pen this Huffington Post column in his defense, in 2008.

"Many people note that our nation has few economists with his intelligence," she wrote. "They should also know that we have few leaders, if any, in the financial world who have done more for women."

Summers later served on the White House Council on Women and Girls, from 2009-2010.

If appointed, Yellen would be the first female head of the Federal Reserve in its 100-year history -- a key appointment at a time when only about a third of President Obama's second-term cabinet members are women.

Plus, central banking largely remains an old boys' club worldwide.

Earlier this year, I asked Yellen about why more women aren't rising in the field, to which she replied:

"I am pleased that the representation of women is increasing a lot at other levels, at lower levels of central banking, and in the financial markets, and in institutions more broadly."

"I really think this is something that's going to increase over time, and it's time for that to happen."

To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 11:27 AM ET


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5 charged with hacking 160 million cards over 7 years

credit card hacking scheme

Five men were indicted Wednesday over a huge hacking scheme that resulted in hundreds of millions of dollars in losses.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The five men hacked into computer networks of more than a dozen major American and international companies, including J.C. Penney (JCP, Fortune 500), Wet Seal (WTSL), 7-Eleven, Nasdaq (BANK), JetBlue (JBLU) and Dow Jones, to steal valuable personal identifying information and sell them, according to the U.S. Attorney's Office for New Jersey.

The defendants allegedly targeted retailers and other corporations engaged in financial transactions, or transmitting financial data. They took user names and passwords, means of identification, credit and debit card numbers and other corresponding personal identification information of cardholders, according to the indictment.

The data breach, which the U.S. Attorneys' office said was the largest such scheme ever prosecuted in the U.S., resulted in hundreds of millions of dollars in losses.

Related: Hack reveals mobile phones' calls, texts and photos

"Those who have the expertise and the inclination to break into our computer networks threaten our economic well-being, our privacy, and our national security," said U.S. Attorney Paul Fishman.

The indictment said the five men played specific roles in the scheme.

Vladimir Drinkman and Alexandr Kalinin gained access to the companies' systems, while Roman Kotov mined the networks for valuable data.

The hackers used anonymous web-hosting services provided by Mikhail Rytikov to hide their identities. Dmitriy Smilianets was responsible for selling the stolen data and divvying up the proceeds among the five men.

Kalinin and Drinkman were previously charged in New Jersey in connection with five corporate data breaches.

The U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York on Thursday announced two additional indictments against Kalinin for hacking servers used by the financial securities market Nasdaq and an international scheme to steal bank account information by hacking U.S.-based financial institutions.

Law enforcement obtained instant message chats that reveal the defendants often targeted the companies for many months, "waiting patiently as their efforts to bypass security were underway," the New Jersey U.S. Attoney's office said. The men implanted malware software on companies' servers for more than a year.

Once they obtained the data, they would sell each stolen American credit card number for $10. European cards would go for $50, while Canadian cards for $15. Bulk and repeat customers would get discounted prices.

Other companies that were also allegedly defrauded were Hannaford, Heartland, Commidea, Dexia, Euronet, Visa Jordan, Global Payment, Diners and Ingenicard. To top of page

First Published: July 25, 2013: 12:26 PM ET


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Higher mortgage rates won't hurt recovery, Fannie finds

Written By limadu on Kamis, 18 Juli 2013 | 23.53

mortgage rates 071113

Mortgage rates have climbed by more than a percentage point since late April.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

After looking at mortgage rates going back to 1990, Fannie Mae's researchers came to the surprising conclusion that while rising rates were likely to hurt the number of home sales, they had virtually no impact on home prices.

"History suggests that interest rate increases at the level recently witnessed will not stop the current housing recovery," the report said.

The study, which compared historic mortgage rates with home price and sales data, focused on two time periods when rates soared. The first, from October 1993 through December 1994, when rates rose to 9.2% from 6.8% and the second from October 1998 to May 2000 when they climbed to 8.5% from 6.7%.

During the rate spike in the early 1990s, home prices leveled off, then fell only slightly. During the second rate climb, there was no impact on homes prices at all.

"What we see through the ups and downs of rate changes is that sellers are reluctant to lower prices," said Mark Palim, who led the Fannie Mae study. Homebuyers were also willing to find ways to stretch their resources, often by switching to adjustable rate loans, which kept payments affordable for the first few years then were adjusted higher.

Quiz: How much do you know about mortgages?

In addition, rates and home prices both track economic trends, said Palim. So when the economy is hot, rates rise and so do hiring and income, which means more people are able to buy homes and pay higher prices for them.

Fannie's research may shine some light on what will happen to the housing market in the months ahead, but some housing experts are skeptical.

With rates for 30-year mortgages spiking by more than a percentage point to 4.51% since early May, some economists say rates will most definitely have an impact on home prices and, ultimately, the housing market's recovery.

Related: Best advice now for homebuyers and sellers

Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics, examined more than 20 years of mortgage rate and home price data and found that, on average, for every percentage point increase in mortgage rates, the pace at which home prices grew was lowered by half a percentage point.

"If sustained, the current rate rise will take some of the steam out of the market," he said.

However, he noted that current rates are still quite low and mortgages still very affordable compared with the historical average of more than 6%. "Buyers can live with 4.5% rates," he said.

Jay Brinkmann, chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association, said the recent rate increases will have a bigger impact on how much buyers will be willing to spend on a home.

People buy homes for personal reasons, he said: They need more room, they relocate for work, they fall in love with a house. Rate hikes usually don't stop them from buying.

Related: Chinese buyers flood U.S. housing market

"It impacts which house they buy, not whether they buy a house or not," he said.

Instead of a five bedroom, they'll choose a four-bedroom house. Or they'll purchase in a less expensive neighborhood. Either way, it should result in lowering median price -- not sales volume.

Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, disagrees: He believes mortgage rates will indeed impact sales volume and that home prices will ultimately follow.

"The dynamics of the housing market is that it affects home sales first and [then] inventory increases," he said. And when supplies go up, he said, prices must go down. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 7:34 AM ET


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Jobless claims fall

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

About 334,000 people filed initial jobless claims in the week ended July 13, down 24,000 from the prior week, the Labor Department said Thursday. That's the lowest level since early May.

Fewer claims are typically considered an encouraging sign of fewer layoffs, but economists were quick to urge caution when looking claims over the last few weeks.

Related: Employers to raise worker pay by 2.9% next year

Early July is a notoriously volatile time for initial claims.

Historically, the Labor Department has adjusted the numbers to account for temporary layoffs that often result from auto factories retooling during the summer. But in the last few years, fewer automakers have been making those layoffs.

Not surprisingly, states with a large auto manufacturing presence, like Michigan, Indiana and Ohio, were among those reporting a big rise in claims a week earlier.

"One must be wary during these months, given the typical annual auto plant shutdowns," said Jennifer Lee, senior economist with BMO Capital Markets. "Especially this year as many automakers have cut back or eliminated the closures completely."

Economists prefer to look at a four-week moving average to smooth out some of the volatility. That measure declined slightly last week, and over the last few months, has been hovering near levels not seen since 2008.

Meanwhile, about 3.1 million people filed for their second week or more of unemployment benefits in the week ending July 6 -- the most recent data available. That number was up 91,000 form the prior week, but is also prone to volatility in early July. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 9:08 AM ET


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Lumia isn't enough to rescue Nokia

nokia ceo elop

Nokia's CEO Stephen Elop is hoping customers will start snapping up the new Lumia 1020, a Windows Phone with a 41-megapixel camera.

LONDON (CNNMoney)

The struggling Finnish smartphone maker continues to lose business in all its major divisions, even as its much-hyped Lumia smartphones are gaining traction.

Nokia's (NOK) second-quarter revenue dropped 24% to €5.7 billion, compared with the prior year. Sales were also down 3% from the first quarter.

The numbers disappointed investors. Shares of Nokia tumbled 5% in premarket trading.

But Lumia sales were the one bright spot.

Nokia shipped 32% more Lumias in the latest quarter, compared with the first three months of the year. But overall sales of smartphones and regular cell phones are still declining.

Nokia has been struggling for years as it competes against smartphone leaders such as Samsung and Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500).

In the first quarter alone, Nokia lost nearly 5 percentage points of global market share, according to research firm Gartner.

Related: Nokia's new Lumia packa a crazy 41-megapixel camera

However, Liberum analyst Janardan Menon said he was happy with how the Nokia Siemens Networks division was performing.

"Nokia Siemens Networks is doing extremely well," he said "That's helping the overall company."

Investors have welcomed Nokia's plan to pay $2.2 billion to buy the entire Nokia Siemens Networks unit, which is 50% owned by Siemens (SI).

This unit is Nokia's main profit driver, and competes against China's Huawei and ZTE Corp (ZTCOF).

Menon said the acquisition will help the company improve its entire smartphone unit.

Related: Nokia's $20 (and profitable) cell phone

Earlier this month, Nokia unveiled a new Lumia smartphone with a 41-megapixel camera, in a bid to get consumers to give its devices a second look. The company is hoping a super high-end camera could differentiate its phones in a crowded market.

It is also selling very basic Lumia phones in developing markets.

Back in 2006, Nokia controlled half of the smartphone market, but that was before Apple released its game-changing iPhone in 2007.

Nokia's stock traded above $40 in late 2007. Today, it's worth little more than $4. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 7:49 AM ET


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Big banks stage mega-cyberattack drill

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Good thing it's just a drill.

About 50 institutions -- including banks like JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) and Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) -- will participate in the exercise, called "Quantum Dawn 2." Several government agencies, including the U.S. Treasury, will observe the drill.

The idea is to simulate what would happen if hackers penetrated certain systems in financial companies and agencies. If breached, infections could, in theory impact the entire gamut of the sector from exchanges to brokerages to insurance companies.

The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA), a trade group, will orchestrate the exercise. The simulated attack will run from 9 a.m. to about 3 p.m. today, crunching about two and a half days worth of faux attacks those hours. No real systems or accounts will be impacted during the simulation.

Related story: Easy ways to keep your online accounts safe

To take part in the drills, each of the participating institutions will be running software developed by Cyber Strategies, a Northfield, Vt., firm that specializes in making cyber exercise software for financial institutions.

Karl Schimmeck, SIFMA's vice president of financial services operations, declined to share specifics of what exactly the simulated threats would look like, but similar drills in the past have looked like a giant, computerized version of roleplaying game Dungeons and Dragons.

An employee sitting at his desk might get a prompt saying, "this bank is having integrity issues with money," or "you cant make trades over this technical system." The employee then might role-play talking to an FBI agent -- likely an actual one enlisted to help with the drill, said Dave Aitel, CEO of the security firm Immunity, who formerly worked as a research scientist for the National Security Agency.

Institutions will have the opportunity to practice sharing information with one another during the drill to help navigate through the threats, Schimmeck said.

Related story: cyberattacks are the bank robberies of the future

The financial sector is hoping to prepare itself for a massive, disruptive attack -- a growing concern lately, as "hacktivists," organized cybercriminals and government-spnosored attacks become increasingly large and successful. Though still a far-off doomsday scenario, some security industry experts say the financial sector is vulnerable to cyber-terrorists aiming to damage the U.S. economy.

In a digitized world, every sector needs to worry about cyber breaches, but the financial sector is in a "uniquely bad position," said Aitel. That's because banks and other financial institutions have to do deal with money flows in real time, with markets hanging in the balance.

"Our industry has been the target of many attacks over the past year, and it's important that we stay one step ahead," said Schimmeck.

SIFMA said that Thursday's drills attracted twice the number of financial institutions that participated in first Quantum Dawn exercise, held in 2011.

Though some skeptical security experts dismissed Quantum Dawn as a PR stunt, SIFMA said the first run was useful in uncovering flaws in the industry's cyberattack protocols. The trade group found that banks were largely good at sharing information with one another, but bad at making real-time critical decisions for mitigating the threats.

This time around, banks are hoping to improve their performance and discover new vulnerabilities.

"The banks won't answer all of their questions," said Aitel. "But they will learn more about what kinds of questions they need to ask." To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 8:33 AM ET


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Windows 8.1 is as good on small tablets as big ones

windows 8 tablet

Acer is rethinking its flawed Iconia W3 tablet, but the device is still a good illustration of how well Windows 8 scales to a smaller screen.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

That would be worth discussing at length except that Acer apparently agrees, and is working on a revamped version of the tablet for release later this year. That makes a review of the hardware itself irrelevant.

The software, though, still matters. As the first small Widows 8 device, Acer's misfire helps answer the question: Does Microsoft's operating system hold up in this form factor?

Windows 8 is built around vector-based text and graphics -- which can shrink and enlarge on the fly without affecting their quality -- and responsive design, which basically allows the software to instantly reconfigure its layout based on a device's screen size, orientation and resolution. Everything fits without being too small, too large, or out of place.

This means that Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) and its development partners didn't have to do much to make Windows 8 functional on small tablets. With the Windows 8.1 release, though, it's apparent they put a fair amount of thought into tying up some loose ends.

One of Microsoft's explicit goals for Windows 8.1 on mobile devices is to keep users in its new "Modern" interface as much as possible. The desktop mode is designed for a keyboard and mouse; trying to use it with my finger almost provoked a nervous breakdown.

That makes the little fixes sprinkled throughout Modern meaningful. The Start screen and many of the apps have been tweaked to make more efficient use of the display space in portrait mode. Seven- to 8-inch tablets are the natural choice for those who want a reading device, and that means they're typically handled in portrait orientation.

The local file browser inside Microsoft's SkyDrive app is a nice Windows 8.1 addition regardless of device. But on the Iconia W3, its existence really makes sense. Being able to browse, manipulate and organize files without having to go into the traditional Windows Explorer makes a huge difference, especially when you're only using your finger. The same goes for settings. Windows 8.1 pulls more of the options away from the Control Panel and into the Modern menu, which keeps you better connected to touch controls.

Related story: Ouya is a charming but flawed $100 game console

Improvements to the keyboard have been made with the small screen in mind. Features like auto-suggest are long overdue. Microsoft also introduced a new, ingenious idea: flick upwards on the top row of keys to type numbers. The mechanics still need polishing, but the concept is sound.

Snap View, a feature not supported on displays smaller than 1366 x 768 in Windows 8, will now work on small displays on Windows 8.1. That means two apps can share the screen at the same time and allow a certain degree of multitasking. Having a Web browser open in one window and an app like Twitter open in another is especially useful. It's not as much of a necessity for smaller devices, but it works pretty well for those who want to use it.

That said, there's plenty of room for improvement, and Windows 8.1 needs to address a few small screen issues.

An 8-inch tablet is optimal for reading, but Windows 8.1's addition of baked-in, reading-centric features is scatterbrained at best. There's the Instapaper-esque Reading List app, which will take any link you send over and stash it away for later reading. Yet it doesn't reformat webpages and articles into a more-reading friendly format, and it doesn't allow for offline viewing, which strips away much of its utility.

There's also a separate Windows Reader app that only supports PDFs. No e-books. No HTML files. Just PDFs. Yes there are Kindle and Nook reader apps, but if Microsoft is serious about supporting smaller devices, offering better features for readers is crucial. Combining Reading List and Reader into a single app and expanding their overall functionality would make a huge difference.

Internet Explorer is also an area that needs work. Technically speaking, it's mostly fine. It renders pages as well and as quickly as any other browser. But its interface has always felt a little chaotic, and within the more claustrophobic confines of the 8-inch screen, that feeling is amplified. In Snap Mode, the browser is unable to detect webpages that employ a responsive design. Instead of reconfiguring the webpage as you allocate screen space to IE, it simply shrinks the standard page template, which doesn't make it all that usable as a secondary window.

And while it's understandable that Microsoft is letting users run the classic "desktop" mode, it's also so pointless that Microsoft might be better off only allowing access to it when the tablet is connected to an external monitor. It's not a huge issue, but people with unrealistic expectations are bound to be frustrated.

No one should go buy an Acer Iconia W3 -- not with better hardware promised in the near future. But the one valuable thing it did is prove that, conceptually speaking, Windows 8.1 will work almost as well on a 7- or 8-inch screen as it will on a 10- or 20-inch screen. If you don't like Windows 8 to begin with, using it on a smaller device won't provide any epiphanies. But for those already on board, it's worth investing in.

It's just a matter of the right device hitting store shelves. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 10:54 AM ET


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Favorite stocks of high speed traders

high frequency traders favorite stocks

Microsoft and Bank of America are two favorite stocks of the high-frequency traders.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The bank's high valuation (around $150 billion) and low stock price (around $14) is the perfect combination for firms that trade in milliseconds.

That's because of the fees, or so-called rebates, trading firms get every time they buy or sell a stock on the public market. Those rebates are the same regardless of the stock price so they can add up quickly.

For high speed trading firms, the low price allows them to jump in and out of "cheap" stocks, and rack up big bucks without carrying a lot of risk.

Firms also pay fees to list orders to buy or sell stocks, but those are much smaller.

Still, it takes more than a low stock price to entice high speed traders. They also want stocks that trade a lot, which is why they tend to gravitate toward large cap stocks.

"When there's a tremendous amount of liquidity, you have a safety cushion to trade in and out of a stock," said Dave Lauer, a former trader and analyst at market maker Citadel and high-speed trading firm Allston Trading.

Related: The computers that run the stock market

There are a handful of stocks that fit that bill.

Satellite radio station Sirius XM (SIRI) is one. It has a market cap of $23.4 billion but its stock is less than $4.

Telecom company Sprint (S, Fortune 500), tech giants Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) and Cisco (CSCO, Fortune 500), drugmaker Pfizer (PFE, Fortune 500), and conglomerate General Electric (GE, Fortune 500) are among the other favorites, according to several high speed traders, market makers, and research from Rosenblatt Securities.

"High speed traders want zero risk trades," said Dennis Dick, who runs research firm Premarket Info.

That means some companies that have high valuations might not make the cut.

While high speed traders like Microsoft, which has a market cap above $300 billion and trades around $36 a share, they balk at the price tags on Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) and Google (GOOG, Fortune 500). Both have similarly high market valuations but they trade in the triple digits.

"If I make the same amount in rebates either way, I'd rather pony up $3 [to buy a company's stock] than a few hundred dollars," said Justin Schack, an analyst at Rosenblatt Securities. "It ties up less capital, and if something goes wrong, there's less risk of losing money."

Related: Citadel: The stock market is safer than ever

High-speed trading accounts for roughly half of all stock trading volume in the U.S., according to Rosenblatt Securities.

That causes huge disparities in the volume of lower priced stocks versus more expensive ones.

For example, Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) has generated roughly 34 times the volume of rival Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) this year. To put it even more plainly, about 196 million BofA shares are traded each day, compared with just 5.6 million shares of Goldman.

But the stocks that struggle the most in the new world of high speed trading are small- and mid-cap stocks.

Take Energizer (ENR). The battery maker has a market cap of $6.7 billion but only about 477,000 shares change hands each day. That makes it hard for investors to sell out or potential investors to jump in without dramatically affecting the share price.

Another well-known small-cap stock, DreamWorks Animation (DWA), had just 867,000 shares trade each day this year on average.

"Some people say that market quality is better because of high speed trading, because buy and sell spreads are so tight," said Lauer. "But nobody will make try to make that argument for small and mid-cap stocks." To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 7:19 AM ET


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Verizon iPhone sales soar 44%

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

America's largest wireless carrier activated 3.9 million iPhones during the second quarter, 44% more than the 2.7 million iPhones it activated in the second quarter of 2012. Verizon's iPhone sales were well above Wall Street's estimate of 3.5 million. Just over half of Verizon's smartphone activations were iPhones last quarter.

Those are potentially encouraging numbers ahead of Apple's quarterly earnings report on July 23. Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) is expected to have sold just about as many iPhones last quarter as it did a year earlier --- nothing close to the 44% growth Verizon saw.

But U.S. wireless carriers haven't proven to be the strongest indicator of overall iPhone sales in the past. In the first quarter of 2013, for instance, Verizon's iPhone activations grew by 25%, but Apple's iPhone sales grew by less than 7%. In April 2012, both Verizon and AT&T (T, Fortune 500) reported disappointing iPhone sales that fell 44% and 24% respectively from the previous quarter -- but that evening, Apple said quarter-over-quarter iPhone sales fell by just 5%.

Related story: Cell phone bills' hidden 17% tax

Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500) also reported Thursday that it activated 7.5 million smartphones during the second quarter, about a quarter of which were for new Verizon customers. The company is just about done with its 4G network rollout, which is already having a huge impact on the amount of data customers download. Verizon said that a third of its devices are on the 4G network, but 4G accounts for nearly 60% of the company's data traffic.

That could pay off for Verizon down the road, as customers begin paying more and more for those gigabytes.

The second quarter wasn't all sunshine and roses for Big Red, though. The company said its wireless service profit margin came in at 49.8% -- up from a year ago, but far below Wall Street's expectations.

Kevin Smithen, an analyst at Macquarie Securities, attributed the disappointing margin to increased spending on marketing during the quarter in the wake of new promotions from rival carrier T-Mobile (TMUS).

Shares of Verizon fell about 2% on the news. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 11:19 AM ET


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Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs

u.s. stocks, dow

Click the chart for more stock market data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The Dow Jones industrial average gained more than 100 points, or 0.7%, while the S&P 500 also rose 0.7%, to an all-time high.

The Nasdaq rose slightly to trade at the highest levels in over a decade. (Click here for more on stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies)

Related: Fear & Greed Index, still greedy

Healthy earnings propel stocks: IBM (IBM, Fortune 500) shares climbed after the tech stalwart said its net income for the second quarter rose 3% to $4.3 billion, excluding special charges. IBM also raised its outlook for the year. The company's stock was among the top performers in the Dow Thursday.

Shares of Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) jumped after the financial firm reported a quarterly profit in line with estimates, though revenue beat forecasts. Shares of rival banks including Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) and Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) also increased sharply.

UnitedHealth Group (UNH, Fortune 500) also reported earnings above forecasts and improved its outlook. Shares of the insurance giant were among the the best performing in the S&P 500.

"A lot of these earnings are stepping over an extremely low bar, but still stepping over the bar, which is reason for some optimism," said Kim Forrest, senior equity analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group.

In other earnings news, Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500) reported a 21% jump in quarterly net income from a year earlier. But shares of the company dipped due to a worse-than-expected wireless service profit margin.

Nokia's (NOK) stock price dropped after the Finnish phone maker reported a 24% plunge in quarterly sales from a year earlier.

Late Wednesday, Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) reported second-quarter profits that fell 29% versus a year prior, sending shares lower. The company also said it expects revenue to be flat this year, after previously forecasting a modest increase.

Aside from earnings, Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) shares rose after the company postponed the final vote on its pending $24.4 billion buyout offer from founder Michael Dell and private equity firm Silver Lake in an effort to "solicit further shareholder votes," according to comments made by special committee member Alex Mandl.

Related: Favorite stocks of high speed traders

Jobless claims drop: Initial jobless claims declined more than expected to 334,000 for the week ended July 13, the lowest level since early May. Claims were expected to drop to 348,000, according to Briefing.com's consensus of economist forecasts.

The four-week moving average, which smooths out some of the volatility in the weekly reading, also declined slightly. Over the past few months, it's been hovering near levels not seen since 2008.

Bernanke: Bernanke appeared before the Senate Banking Committee Thursday. He testified before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday, reiterating that the Fed will keep its stimulus policies in place for as long as necessary.

His testimony will be the same but investors will be closely listening to the Q&A period to see if Bernanke continues to stick to his core position, which is that monetary policy will remain highly accommodative. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 9:43 AM ET


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GM forms committee to keep eye on Tesla

tesla model s

GM CEO Akerson forms group within the nation's largest automaker to weigh threat posed by upstart Tesla.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

GM has confirmed that CEO Dan Akerson has formed a task force within the company to look at the impact from alternative automakers. The only alternative car company it named: Tesla.

"He thinks Tesla could be a big disrupter if we're not careful. History is littered with big companies that ignored innovation that was coming their way because you didn't know where you could be disrupted," said GM Vice Chairman Steve Girsky in an interview published Thursday by the wire service Bloomberg. GM confirms the quote.

GM could be learning from its past mistakes. It has paid the price for underestimating threats from upstarts in the past.

All three big U.S. car companies -- GM, Ford Motor (F, Fortune 500) and Chrysler Group -- did not pay enough attention when Japanese automakers such as Toyoto Motor (TM) and Honda Motor (HMC) appeared on the horizon with cheap, energy efficient imports.

Today, Toyota has edged out GM as the world's largest automaker and is No. 3 in U.S. sales. Meanwhile, GM took a federal bailout and a trip to bankruptcy court in 2009 to survive the Great Recession.

Related: How Tesla's rivals are supporting Tesla

GM sold 2.5 million vehicles globally in the second quarter, while Tesla set a sales target of selling about 5,000 cars during the same quarter.

But Tesla's Model S has generated tremendous attention, including Consumer Reports calling it the best car it has ever reviewed. The share price of Tesla (TSLA) has more than tripled so far this year and the company now has a market value of $14 billion. GM (GM, Fortune 500)'s market value is $50.6 billion.

To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 12:32 PM ET


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Morgan Stanley's profit jumps 66%

morgan stanley earnings 071813

Morgan Stanley's shares rose in premarket trading.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The bank reported a 66% surge in quarterly profit from a year earlier, driven by strong revenue from investment banking and wealth management.

Morgan Stanley also surprised investors by announcing that the Fed had approved a $500 million share buyback plan.

Shares of the bank rallied 4%.

The latest results show Morgan Stanley is having some success in building up its wealth management business. CEO James Gorman has been trying to reshape the bank to make it less susceptible to risks. Bolstering its brokerage business is key to that transformation.

Related: Goldman Sachs' profits double

Revenues from the wealth management division jumped 10% from last year, while profits surged 60%.

During the second quarter, the bank completed its acquisition of a 35% stake in brokerage firm Morgan Stanley Smith Barney. The brokerage unit had been operated as a joint venture with Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley had been gradually buying it back. The bank took a one-time charge of 8 cents this quarter related to acquisition costs.

"The deal was a game changer for our firm for now and for decades to come," Gorman told analysts during a conference call Thursday.

Related: Bank of America profit rises 63%

While Morgan Stanley is attempting to become less dependent on trading and investment banking, it continues to benefit from both. Revenues and profits increased in both divisions last quarter.

The bank's CFO, Ruth Porat, said the bank sees a "healthy" pipeline for deals and M&A. Many deals are still stuck in that pipeline but Porat was optimistic that CEOs might be finally willing to pull the trigger on deals in the coming quarters.

The bank reported second quarter net revenue of $8.5 billion, and earnings per share of 43 cents. Excluding certain debt-related charges and charges related to Morgan Stanley Smith Barney, Morgan Stanley earned 45 cents a share.

Analysts had expected Morgan Stanley to report a profit of 43 cents per share on revenues of $7.9 billion.

Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) is the last big bank to report quarterly earnings. Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) and Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500), all reported earnings that soared well above expectations. To top of page

First Published: July 18, 2013: 8:09 AM ET


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Goldman Sachs' 'Fabulous Fab' to get his day in court

Written By limadu on Kamis, 11 Juli 2013 | 23.53

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Tourre once described himself as "the fabulous Fab" in e-mails uncovered by the Securities Exchange Commission. Next week, he goes on trial in federal court in New York, and faces a possible financial hit if found liable.

The SEC has accused him of fraud for concealing the compromised value of collateralized debt obligations from investors while working for Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) as a vice president in 2007.

In particular, Tourre is accused of misrepresenting a portfolio of real estate investments named Abacus to investors and ACA Financial Guaranty, without revealing that hedge fund Paulson & Co. was betting against the portfolio.

"The SEC essentially argues that Tourre handed Little Red Riding Hood an invitation to grandmother's house while concealing the fact that it was written by the Big Bad Wolf," Judge Katherine Forrest wrote in a recent court document. "Tourre disputes the SEC's characterization writ large and also points out that the alleged victims were not be-hooded children, but rather large financial institutions, operating in a dog-eat-dog world."

If Tourre is found liable, he could be fined, and the SEC could also force him to forfeit ill-gotten profits.

Related: Prison exclusive: Bernie Madoff can't sleep

A nine-person jury will be selected starting Monday. Lawyers for both sides will then make opening statements, and witnesses are scheduled to begin testifying. The trial is expected to last about three weeks, according to the judge.

Tourre has denied any wrongdoing and continues to fight the accusations.

"Fabrice Tourre has done nothing wrong," his lawyers said in a statement. "He is confident that when all the evidence is considered, the jury will soundly reject the SEC's charges."

In one of its more damning allegations, the SEC uncovered one of Tourre's e-mails, written in French and English to a girlfriend, where he described himself as the lone, "fabulous" survivor amidst the financial fallout created by his trades.

"More and more leverage in the system, the whole building is about to collapse anytime now ... Only potential survivor, the fabulous Fab ... standing in the middle of all these complex, highly leveraged, exotic trades he created without necessarily understanding all of the implications of those moustruosities[sic]!!!" wrote Tourre on Jan. 23, 2007, according to SEC documents.

Abacus plunged in value shortly after it was issued. Paulson profited by $1 billion as investors lost $1 billion.

Related: Ex-Enron CEO Skilling gets 10 years lopped off sentence

In 2010, the SEC fined Goldman Sachs $550 million for its role in the Abacus case, with $300 million earmarked for the U.S. Treasury and $250 million to be returned to burned investors. Britain's Financial Services Authority fined Goldman Sachs International about $27 million for not disclosing that it was being investigating by the SEC.

Tourre has left Wall Street. A graduate of Ecole Centrale Paris who also holds a master's in operations research from Stanford University, he has returned to academia.

Tourre is now a student at the University of Chicago and taught a course there earlier this year called "Theory of Income II." To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 6:33 AM ET


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Pay off student loans or save: Which comes first?

saving goals

Aim to put away at least 10% of your annual income each year for retirement savings.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

You're on the right track. Setting a budget and figuring out short- and long-term savings goals is one of the first things on most financial planning checklists.

So how do you figure out which goal to tackle first? Even at a young age, retirement savings should be at the top of your list, said Anna Behnam, an Ameriprise financial adviser based in Rockville, Md.

"Once retirement comes there is no going back," she said. "So retirement is one of those non-optional (goals)."

Unless you have significant high-interest debt to tackle, strive to put away at least 10% of your annual income each year. Beyond taking advantage of workplace savings plans, Behnam recommends that young savers consider contributing some after-tax income to a Roth IRA, which allows investment earnings to grow tax-free.

Money 101: Setting priorities

Next: figure out monthly student loan payments. While you may be eager to pay student loans down as quickly as possible, it's best to figure out a payment schedule that works with your budget and other savings goals, according to Behnam.

"If you're going to have any debt, student loans aren't bad," she said. Despite a recent hike in student loan rates, Stafford borrowers are still only paying a 6.8% rate, roughly half of the average rate of 13% you'd pay on a credit card.

Now, you can move on to savings goals. But before you even think about saving for a house, you should start building up a sizable cash reserve for emergencies. From dealing with a lost job to an unexpected hospital bill, having extra cash on hand is a key way to stay out of debt.

Employees with steady paychecks should sock away at least three months of expenses, Behnam said. Those who are self-employed should save six months' worth.

And finally, once you feel comfortable with your cash savings, you can start saving for a down payment on a house.

Related: Home prices: Your local forecast

Research home prices in your area so you can create a realistic savings goal. You want to be able to afford a 20% down payment and pay for closing costs out of pocket, she said.

If you start getting discouraged, remember to keep your eye on the long-term prize.

"The problem with long-term savings is you don't get the instant gratification," Behnam said. "You have to be able to take the emotion out of it and figure out what is most important to you." To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 6:38 AM ET


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Citadel: The stock market is safer than ever

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

And he should know. Citadel executes one out of every eight trades in the United States.

Nazarali said trading firms have been working closely with regulators since 2010 to prevent a repeat of the flash crash that sent the Dow plunging nearly 1,000 points in a matter of minutes.

New rules enacted this year may have helped limit the fallout from last year's glitches that unhinged the Facebook IPO, and the BATS IPO, as well as Knight Capital's rogue algorithm that caused erroneous orders in 150 NYSE-listed stocks.

For example, the new limit-up/ limit-down rule forces all exchanges to pause trading in a stock for up to five minutes if the price falls outside of a "normal" trading range -- defined as a price swing between 5% to 10% from the recent range.

Nazarali says these pauses help prevent investor panic. Previously it was unclear whether those trades would be canceled by exchanges later in the day, prompting many investors to simply sit on the sidelines.

With the new rules, investors don't have to play a guessing game about whether or not a trade will get canceled.

The SEC also recently clarified its definition of "clearly erroneous" trades, which usually do get canceled.

Related: The computers that run the stock market

Eric Hunsader, who runs trading research firm Nanex, thinks the rules will help eliminate some of the glitches for individual stocks, but cautions they may actually make things worse in the event of another flash crash.

"These rules are very complicated, and they depend on everyone receiving and processing information at the same time," said Hunsader. During major market disruptions, problems reverberate throughout exchanges and trading firms, making it difficult to process trades.

"All these things tend to break when the market spasms," said Hunsader.

Internal monitoring: Nazarali's biggest concern is making sure Citadel's automated trading systems don't cause a massive trading glitch similar to Knight's, which cost the firm $440 million.

To keep up with the world of high speed trading, Citadel reworks its trading algorithms every few days and puts every new piece of software code through extensive beta testing.

If a faulty piece of code does make it through, it would trip a signal inside Citadel and be quickly be shut off to prevent errant buy or sell orders.

Nazarali knows how dangerous errant code can be. He worked at Knight Capital (KCG) for more than a decade but left six months before the massive trading glitch that nearly took the firm down.

A kill switch: Nazarali won't comment on the problems at Knight, but said he's been advocating for a "kill switch" at major stock exchanges that would allow them to quickly shut down trading from any firm experiencing software troubles.

Nazarali said the NYSE detected last August's problems at Knight within minutes, but Knight didn't shut down trading for about 30 minutes.

An NYSE spokesperson declined to comment and Knight did not return requests for comment.

Related: High speed trading fueled Twitter flash crash

It's easy to blame high speed traders for the spate of market disruptions. These firms profit from tiny differences between stock prices and they make thousands of trades in a millisecond. That can add up quickly.

Critics say high speed trading firms provide liquidity to the market but they can just as quickly take it away at the slightest sign of trouble.

Nazarali disagrees. "I think there's very little evidence that that happens."

Yet, only public stock exchanges are legally obligated to keep trading when problems arise. Private firms like Citadel can sit on the sidelines if they want.

But Nazarali says that stepping back is not an option, because the firm would bleed customers. "We don't have to, but we do keep trading because our customers demand it. At times of volatility, that's when our customers expect us to be there."

In today's technology driven trading world, Nazarali says customers are actually more protected than the days when floor brokers dominated.

"In 1987, during the stock market crash, everything was handled manually, and brokers wouldn't pick up their phones. They wouldn't buy or sell stocks," he said.

"Even today, under market duress, people can always get their customer orders filled," said Nazarali.

-- CNNMoney's Jordan Malter contributed. To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 8:01 AM ET


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Jobless claims rise as 'July effect' hits

initial claims automotive factory

July is a notoriously difficult month for seasonally adjusting the initial claims data, due to temporary layoffs at auto factories.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

About 360,000 people filed for initial jobless claims in the week ended July 6, up 16,000 from the previous week -- and the highest level since mid-May -- the Labor Department said Thursday.

The increase came as a surprise, after economists predicted the report would show 345,000 people filed initial claims last week. But economists were quick to point to quirkiness in the data as the main cause of the rise.

July is a notoriously difficult month to calculate. Historically, the Labor Department has adjusted the data to account for temporary layoffs that often result from auto factories retooling during the summer, but in the last few years, fewer automakers have been making those layoffs. Nevertheless, the seasonal adjustments remain in place.

"July is usually a very volatile month," said Jill Brown, an economist with Credit Suisse in a note to clients. "We would not be surprised to see volatility continue."

Related: Hiring beats expectations in June

Over the longer term, initial claims have been hovering around levels not seen since 2008. While that's an encouraging sign that layoffs are back to pre-recession levels, economists are still waiting to see stronger hiring.

Initial claims over the last few weeks are "consistent with very little momentum in the labor market," Thomas Simons, money market economist with Jefferies & Co., said in a note to clients.

Meanwhile, about 2.98 million people filed for their second week of unemployment benefits or more in the week ended June 29, the most recent data available. That number was up 24,000 from the previous week. To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 9:11 AM ET


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Microsoft shakes up management - again

steve ballmer

Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer announced a reorganization of the company -- but he has been down this road many times before.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The shakeup, which Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) announced Thursday, is intended to better align the company's organizational structure with its new corporate strategy. CEO Steve Ballmer declared in October 2012 that Microsoft would transition to a "devices and services" company, focusing on making hardware, online services and apps that work together seamlessly across multiple screens and gadgets.

The company will break up its product silos, concentrating on four core areas: operating systems, apps, the cloud and devices. Teams in each of those units will contribute to all of Microsoft's core products, including Windows, Office, Server and Tools, enterprise software, Bing, and Xbox. (Microsoft Dynamics, the company's business solutions division, will continue to run independently of the larger structure.)

The new strategy, called "One Microsoft," will "enable more cross-group contribution," according to a memo Ballmer sent around to his staff.

That has long been a problem for the company. Insiders say the corporate culture has traditionally been so competitive that collaboration with other teams has been discouraged.

Microsoft will hold a conference call at 12:30 p.m. PT to discuss the plan in more detail.

"Times change, and Microsoft has to change with it," said Al Hilwa, an analyst at IDC. "They are generally executing on the outlines of the right strategy, but speed of execution and responsiveness is their biggest issue right now. The new organization is likely focused on exactly that."

Related story: Analyst wants Microsoft to break up

Yet Microsoft has tried this kind of thing many times before.

  • In 2002, Microsoft unveiled a new corporate structure that gave more independence to the managers of the company's half-dozen-or-so business units.
  • In 2005, Microsoft reversed course, consolidating its seven divisions into three -- platform products and services, business, and entertainment and devices.
  • A year later, it completely rethought the products and services organization in light of the Windows Vista debacle.
  • In 2007, Microsoft changed up its Windows business structure yet again and made the server and tools business separate from the products and services division.
  • In 2008, the company did even more retooling of its products and services unit, splitting it into two divisions: Windows and online services.
  • In 2010, the company changed up its entertainment and devices management structure.
  • And last year, Microsoft shuffled its marketing business.

If reorganizations sound like they're part of Microsoft's culture, that's because they have been for decades.

"We changed the structure of the company," announced then-CEO Bill Gates in a 1996 post on Microsoft's website. "I'm sure we'll change it again many times. Reorganizations are expected around Microsoft."

Gates noted that the company had undertaken a major reorganization every two years up to that point.

Related story: Don't blame Windows 8 for slumping PC sales

But as many times as Microsoft has changed things up, the reorganizations haven't sparked major growth. Earnings and sales have largely grown at a steady pace, and Microsoft's stock price has been stuck between $25 and $35 for more than a decade.

"Again?!" Laura DiDio, principal analyst at ITIC, said in response to the re-org. "These constant reorganizations have done little to jumpstart the company's business or have an impact on its bottom line."

Though reorganizations are simply a part of corporate life -- particularly at companies as large as Microsoft -- these countless strategy shifts have taken a major toll on morale and productivity, former employees have said.

"When we got reorganized, the first thing the new management wanted to look at is what we've been doing, and then they'd immediately hit the reset button," said Bobby Gill, a former project manager within Microsoft's Forefront Identity Manager group. "You end up revisiting everything, and it just becomes an endless reset process."

Gill said his division went through three major reorganizations during his four-year tenure at the company, which lasted between 2005 and 2009. At one point, his team was well into the development of its product when new management came in and threw out all the plans for the project -- only to approve the same exact plan more than a year later.

The cost of constant shuffling, he said, was "planning paralysis."

Another fallout from all the management changes is that rising-star executives at the company have often been fired or quit as a result of the shakeups. Numerous heir-apparents to Ballmer, including Ray Ozzie, Bob Muglia, Steve Sinofsky and Craig Mundie have left over the past several years -- and not always on the best of terms.

So as Ballmer solidifies his leadership of Microsoft by instituting his latest vision, the short-term plans for the company become clearer, but the long-term outlook perhaps becomes even cloudier.

"As long as Ballmer wants to hang onto the position, there will be very little substantive change," DiDio said. "And yes, many financial industry analysts and shareholders feel that is a big problem." To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 9:48 AM ET


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The case for $70 oil

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

There's an old adage in the oil industry: The best cure for high prices is high prices. Soaring prices lead to new investment, bringing new supplies to market. And that's exactly what's been happening since crude prices went off to the races nearly a decade ago.

Oil at $100 a barrel helped attract the huge sums of money that's made possible the shale revolution in the United Sates, oil sands development in Canada, and ultra deep water production from the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Brazil.

It's also spurred conservation. U.S. vehicles are 23% more efficient than they were in 2007. Throw in rising production from Iraq and slowing Chinese demand growth, and it's possible the world will soon be, once again, awash in oil.

"It would be a mistake to assume that the oil price euphoria of 2007-2008 will not, at some point, be followed by a long-term adjustment similar to the 1980s oil price collapse," Amy Myers Jaffe, executive director of energy and sustainability at University of California, Davis, wrote in a blog post earlier this month.

Related: Beware dire predictions on Obama's war on coal

Oil prices did collapse in the 1980s, following huge investments made in the 1970s in response to that era's high prices. Jaffe argues the collapse would have already happened, were it not for the easy monetary policies that's kept cash cheap and easily accessible for investors over the last few years.

She thinks oil in the $50 to $70 range will be the new norm in three to five years, and even sees $30 a barrel if the market over-corrects.

Jaffe's prediction may be one of the most bearish out there (or bullish, if you're a driver). Many of the big investment banks still have medium-term price projections for oil in the $100 vicinity.

They argue that an improving economy will foster greater demand, that new production needs at least $70 a barrel to be economical, and that if prices ever did drop below $70, people would use so much more of it that prices would soon rebound. But not all banks think this way.

Citigroup has a current price target of oil in the $80-90 range by the end of this decade, citing all the new production and greater emphasis on conservation.

Trevor Houser, an analyst at the Rhodium Group, also thinks oil prices will fall.

Houser cites a Bloomberg poll of oil analysts showing the median oil price projection going from $108 in 2014 to $95 in 2017. He points to the futures market, where oil for 2017 delivery currently trades for under $89 a barrel.

He also notes the latest annual outlook from the International Energy Agency, which shows rising production from the U.S., Canada and elsewhere displacing OPEC barrels in the market.

OPEC may try to cut production to keep prices high, but there's serious questions as to whether all its members, cash strapped and now highly dependent on lofty oil prices, would abide.

Even if OPEC did cut, the mere specter of that oil being available in the ground if needed could send oil prices even lower than the current futures market suggests.

"In our view there is considerable downside risk to current prices," said Houser. "If cartel cohesion breaks down and members produce more than the IEA forecast suggests, prices will be even lower." To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 10:56 AM ET


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EU Commission raids telecoms

european commission raids telecoms

Offices of several telecom companies have been the subject of "unannounced inspections" by European Commission investigators probing antitrust issues.

LONDON (CNNMoney)

The commission says it is looking into whether certain large telecoms offering Internet services have been abusing their dominant market position. A spokesman says Commission officials are searching through paper documents and e-mails in the offices.

The Commission refused to name any of the companies whose offices underwent "unannounced inspections." However, Orange (ORAN), which recently changed its name from France Telecom, confirmed to CNNMoney that EU officials were still in the process of going through its offices.

Germany's Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) and Spain's Telefonic (TEF)a were also subject to the surprise investigations, according to reports. Neither company responded to a request for comment.

Related: EU probes global oil price rigging

The Commission outlined how it was investigating potential issues with the way telecom companies worked with websites and content providers, potentially creating problems with how they connect to the Internet and offer various products and services to consumers.

"This service is crucial for the functioning of the Internet and for end users' ability to reach Internet content ... irrespective of the location of the provider," stated the Commission in a press release.

Both London-based BT Group (BT) and Dutch telecom KPN (KKPNY) said they were not involved in the investigations.

In May, the European Commission also announced it was investigating several big oil companies, including Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP), over suspected attempts to manipulate global oil prices for more than a decade.

If firms are found to have breached antitrust rules, they can face fines as high as 10% of their annual global sales. To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 8:32 AM ET


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Stocks back at record highs

Dow 11 am

Click for more market data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

U.S. stocks soared back into record territory Thursday, as investors welcomed comments from Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke.

The Dow Jones industrial average rallied 144 points, or nearly 1%, topping 15,456 shortly after the opening bell. That put the blue-chip average above the record closing high it hit in May.

The S&P 500 rose more than 1%, also topping its record closing high. The Nasdaq jumped 1.1%.

Click here for data on bonds, commodities, currencies and global markets

The Bernanke market: The gains came after Bernanke said late Wednesday that monetary policy would remain "highly accommodative" for the foreseeable future.

Investors were spooked in May when Bernanke suggested the Fed could begin to scale back its $85 billion-per-month bond buying program this year. But top central bankers, including the chairman, have taken great pains to reassure investors that any tapering would depend on continued improvement in the economy.

"Clearly, the market has digested the shift in Fed policy and is realizing that this is not a very dramatic shift at all," said Hank Smith, chief investment officer at Haverford Trust. "And, if it occurs," he continued, the shift "would be a good thing because it means more confidence in the economy, at least from the Federal Reserve."

Related: Citadel: The stock market is safer than ever

Bull market still has legs: Smith said the gains reflect an improvement in sentiment as investors continue to see any pullback in stocks as an opportunity to buy. He said the recession in Europe and slowing growth in emerging market economies makes the U.S. market particularly attractive, despite the below-average recovery.

Related: The bull looks tired

Looking ahead, Smith expects volatility to remain high as the timing of any Fed action remains uncertain. But he said the market could still rise an additional 5% to 7% by the end of the year.

"Any pullback, or even a correction, would be welcomed by investors," he said. "There is a ton of money waiting for that."

Related: Fear & Greed Index shifts into greed

European markets rose roughly 1% in afternoon trading, and major Asian markets ended with gains.

Japan's benchmark Nikkei index moved 0.4% higher after the country's central bank said it would continue expanding its balance sheet. Jones said that comments from Japan's central bank have helped to buoy international markets.

In U.S. economic news, the number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits rose to a two-month high, according to the government's weekly report. But economists were quick to brush off the rise as a result of volatile number-crunching, rather than a discouraging sign for the economy.

What's moving: Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500)announced a widely-anticipated reorganization of it's business operations, including a shakeup of high-level managers, according to various reports.

Shares of Yum! Brands (YUM, Fortune 500) rose after the restaurant operator reported earnings that beat expectations.

Quarterly results are coming up Friday from mega-banks JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) and Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500).

Overall, earnings for companies in the S&P 500 are expected to grow 0.8% versus last year, according to FactSet. To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 9:49 AM ET


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Drivers, get ready for a gas price spike

rising gas prices

The price of unleaded gasoline could jump by at least 25 cents per gallon in August.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Prices of oil and gasoline futures have increased sharply in July, according to Gasbuddy.com chief oil analyst Tom Kloza. And these prices will inevitably be passed on to consumers in the coming weeks.

The price of unleaded gasoline could jump by at least 25 cents per gallon in August, said oil trader Dan Dicker, author of "Oil's Endless Bid."

In the last two weeks, gas futures jumped to $3.01 per gallon, an increase of more than 10%. And oil prices have surged more than 10% over the last month.

Related: The case for $70 oil

At the same time, Kloza notes that the price of retail gas "has barely moved." But he does expect gas prices to follow suit, surging by as much as 30 cents a gallon in August.

The national average price for regular unleaded gasoline rose 1.7 cents per gallon on Thursday, to $3.52 per gallon, according to the motorist group AAA. That day-to-day bump may just be the start of a larger run up.

Related: Beware dire predictions of Obama's war on coal

Dicker said the energy markets are being driven by a geopolitical "fear factor" over turmoil in oil-producing countries like Egypt, Syria, Iraq and Brazil.

Also, he said the decline in gold prices has prompted investors to turn to oil, exasperating the energy boom.

"Gold just fell apart," he said. "Hedge funds and traders, they've put their money in the oil market. Crude oil has become the new gold." To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 11:44 AM ET


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Mortgage rates reach highest level in 2 years

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Rates climbed 0.22 percentage points to 4.51% for a 30-year, fixed-rate loan this week, the highest it has been since July 2011. Meanwhile, the average rate for a 15-year loan hit 3.53%, up 0.14 percentage points.

Related: Best advice now for homebuyers and sellers

Two weeks ago, a sharp spike in rates of more than half a percentage point was blamed on hints by chairman Ben Bernanke that the Fed would soon start tapering off its purchases of up to $85 billion a month in bonds and mortgage-backed securities, a stimulus program designed to keep borrowing costs low.

This time, the culprit is the economy, said Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH.com, a mortgage information web site.

"Strengthening employment data put the bond and mortgage markets on the defensive again," he said. "The employment report for June, released last Friday, was firmer than expected, and upward revisions to April and May figures showed that hiring is on stronger footing than was previously believed."

It wasn't just the job gains that drove rates higher. Hourly wages also rose 2.2% over the past 12 months, the largest annual increase in nearly two years, according to Frank Nothaft, Freddie's chief economist.

Related: Quiz: How much do you know about mortgages?

The rate increases signal trouble for house hunters, however. A survey by online real estate company Trulia found that an increase in mortgage rates was the number one worry among 41% of consumers, even ahead of price increases.

Rates have risen more than a percentage point since early May, from 3.35% to 4.5%. That has added about $65 to monthly mortgage bills for every $100,000 a homeowner borrows. Combined with the 12% rise in home prices over the past 12 months, mortgage payments have gone up by about 25% for a typical homebuyer.

Related: Scary times hit mortgage shoppers

So far, however, the biggest impact of the rate increases on the mortgage market has been to discourage existing homeowners from refinancing their loans. Refinances decreased to 64% of all mortgage application activity this week, down from about 75% or more before rates started moving higher, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Earlier this week, the Fed seemed to calm fears about an early end to its bond buying program and, as a result, there was some speculation that mortgage rates would start to drop again. Gumbinger said rates leveled off earlier this week, but it's still too early to tell if they will move lower.

Either way, bond investors seem to have grown accustomed to the reality that the Fed will opt out of its buying program, according to Gumbinger. "What's not known is how quickly that will happen," he said. To top of page

First Published: July 11, 2013: 10:02 AM ET


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France wants to delay EU-U.S. trade talks

Written By limadu on Kamis, 04 Juli 2013 | 23.53

hollande obama

A U.S.-EU free trade deal would deliver an economic windfall for both economies but French President Francois Hollande has been angered by allegations of U.S. snooping and wants the talks delayed.

LONDON (CNNMoney)

A government spokesperson said France was looking to delay the talks by roughly two weeks after a German newspaper reported that the U.S. government conducted surveillance on European states and institutions.

But the European Commission, which will lead the negotiations for the EU, said the talks would go ahead as planned despite concerns about potential snooping.

"Whilst the beginning of EU-U.S. trade negotiation should not be affected, the EU side will make it clear that for such a comprehensive and ambitious negotiation to succeed, there needs to be confidence, transparency and clarity among the negotiating partners," it said in a statement.

A spokesperson for the German government echoed this sentiment.

Negotiations are due to begin Monday on a transatlantic trade and investment pact that has the potential to add about $420 billion a year to the global economy.

German news magazine Der Spiegel reported Sunday that classified leaks from former National Security Agency contractor Edward Snowden detailed how the NSA bugged EU offices in Washington and New York, as well as conducted an "electronic eavesdropping operation" that tapped into an EU building in Brussels.

President Obama said Tuesday he needed more information on the specific programs cited in the report but made clear such spying was commonplace.

"I guarantee you that in European capitals, there are people who are interested in, if not what I had for breakfast, at least what my talking points might be should I end up meeting with their leaders," Obama said. "That is how intelligence services operate."

The European Commission will sweep its offices for electronic listening devices and other security breaches, a spokeswoman said Monday.

Related: U.S. curbs Bangladesh trade privileges

A comprehensive EU-U.S. trade deal would be the biggest of its kind and could add $160 billion to annual European income, $125 billion to U.S. income and $133 billion to other economies.

Together, the U.S. and EU account for about half of global economic output, and trade some $1 trillion in goods and services each year, supporting about 13 million jobs on both sides of the Atlantic.

A free trade deal could create as many as two million new jobs at a time when southern Europe is blighted by record unemployment and the U.S. is struggling to create enough new positions to bring its own jobless rate down significantly.

Plans to announce the start of negotiations were nearly derailed last month when France insisted that movies and music be excluded from the discussions, fearing U.S. media could overrun French-language products.

EU officials hammered out a compromise, which takes the audio-visual services industry off the table for now but lets the European Commission seek to broaden its negotiating mandate once talks are underway.

But the spat shows how tricky the talks will be. Other thorny topics are likely to include agriculture, aviation and public sector contracts.

--CNN's Laura Richardson contributed to this report from Paris. To top of page

First Published: July 3, 2013: 9:24 AM ET


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