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Feeling sad? Be careful with your money

Written By limadu on Kamis, 29 November 2012 | 23.53

Sadness can make people desire money right away -- despite the potential cost.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- When you're sad, it's not just your waistline you need to watch. Unhappy people are also more likely to make foolish money decisions, new research shows.

Sad people will often forgo extra money further down the road in order to get less money right away, according to a study conducted by professors at Harvard, Columbia and University of California Riverside.

When offered smaller amounts of cash immediately versus bigger sums three months later, sad people accepted 13% to 34% less money today than their not-so-sad counterparts did -- just to avoid the wait.

"The idea is that when you're sad, you want to accelerate consumption -- it's all about getting money sooner," said Ye Li, co-author of the report and an assistant professor of management at University of California, Riverside.

The researchers conducted a series of experiments in which about 600 participants were assigned to a neutral, disgusted or sad condition. To induce sadness, participants were asked to view a three-minute clip from the movie, The Champ, where a boy watches his father and mentor die in front of him. Neutral participants watched underwater scenes of the Great Barrier Reef, while participants in the disgusted condition watched a clip from Trainspotting showing a man reaching into a filthy toilet.

Related: Financial advice from 14 Money heroes

In one experiment, the median sad participant opted to take $37 immediately instead of waiting three months to receive $85, while neutral participants required a higher amount of $56 right away. Another experiment found that sad participants chose $65 today rather than $100 in three months, while neutral participants wanted $74 today.

The researchers coined this phenomenon "myopic misery," where "sadness creates a myopic focus on obtaining now versus later" -- even if it comes at a cost.

The disgusted condition was used to determine whether any negative emotion would lead to impatience. However, the decisions made by disgusted participants were nearly identical to those made by neutral participants, indicating that this "need-it-now" mentality is specific to sadness, the study found.

Participants never received any money, so the study didn't examine how it would have been used. But Li said it's reasonable to conclude that the people who wanted the money right away were planning to spend it. He said that sadness leads people to seek "retail therapy" -- or the desire for the instant gratification of obtaining something immediately.

"There's no reason to get that money sooner if you don't plan to spend it," he said.

Related: Tighten up your holiday spending

Other real world implications of sadness could include making rash purchases after an event like a divorce or cashing out of stocks or liquidating an estate in the wake of a loved one's death before rationally thinking it through, said Li.

"People typically make some of the most consequential choices of their lives while in emotional states," the research report states. "Our results suggest that [sad] individuals might exacerbate their financial hardship by making intemporal choices that favor immediate consumption more than is wise." To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 5:50 AM ET


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Why 'cheap' stocks aren't always good

The price you pay matters -- pay attention to stock valuations. Cheap isn't always a good buy.

NEW YORK (Money Magazine) -- Remember in the late '90s when Wall Street was so fixated on earnings growth that highfliers like Cisco Systems were coveted despite price/earnings ratios of 100 or more?

Lesson learned: The price you pay for a stock matters. Alas, the pendulum has swung too far in the other direction.

Case in point: Europe. Most money managers think the Continent, mired in recession thanks to its epic debt crisis, will remain stuck in reverse next year and grow at a subpar 2% long after that. They also fear that profits will continue to deteriorate.

Yet a growing chorus believes that European equities are a steal.

That's because at a P/E ratio of 11, they sell for about 50% of what big U.S. equities fetch, more than twice their usual discount.

"European stocks are so cheap they might go up in response to even a half-baked rescue plan," says Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer for the Leuthold Group.

Unfortunately, while there is a strong relationship between current valuations and future performance, a low P/E isn't a foolproof buy signal.

Related: Why old media stocks are on top today

Take 1973. That year the P/E for the S&P 500 index sank from an above-average 19 -- based on 10 years of averaged earnings -- to a historically cheap 13. Yet over the following decade, blue chips posted mediocre annual gains of 6.7%. Factoring in inflation, equities lost value.

By contrast, in 1991, P/Es climbed back to nearly 19. Yet stocks had real annual gains of 15% for the next decade.

The difference?

For starters, between 1973 and 1982, profits for S&P 500 companies grew about 4% a year, well shy of their long-term 6%. From 1991 to 2000, earnings soared at double the historical pace.

Also, in the '70s the Fed was raising interest rates to fight inflation. In the '90s it was cutting them to jump-start growth.

Fast-forward to today: Europe is cheap, but the U.S. economy and profits are expected to grow much faster than the Continent's.

"Valuation has an inherent inability to be a predictor of market action," says James Stack, president of InvesTech Research.

Yes, P/Es offer a clue about how much stocks might rise or fall, but it's earnings and interest rates, or geopolitics and investor psychology, that change the market's direction. "Over valued markets can keep getting more overvalued, and undervalued ones can keep getting cheaper," says Stack.

Related: Tips for investing in stocks

Robert Arnott, chairman of Research Affiliates, contends that valuation is still "the most important tool" investors have, especially the P/E ratio based on 10 years of averaged earnings.

Yet even the man who popularized this metric, Yale economist Robert Shiller, cautions that it's "not a guarantee. If you look at history," he says, "the market is simply hard to predict." To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 6:02 AM ET


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British banks may need more capital

The Bank of England orders immediate review of capital levels at British banks

LONDON (CNNMoney) -- British banks may not have enough capital to absorb future losses while supporting growth in the economy, the Bank of England warned Thursday.

The central bank, which takes on the responsibility of regulating U.K. banks from the Financial Services Authority (FSA) next year, said an urgent review of capital adequacy was necessary.

"The problem is manageable, and is already understood at least in part by markets," said BoE Governor Mervyn King. "But it does warrant immediate attention."

In its Financial Stability Report, the BoE said capital exceeded the minimum required. But the capital could be overstated because banks may be underestimating future losses, arising from the eurozone for example, as well as taking an overly optimistic view of risk on their books and not recognizing the full cost of past misconduct.

Related: Growing cost of HSBC's laundry list

Fines, penalties and compensation linked to the manipulation of the benchmark Libor lending rate, misleading customers about payment protection insurance and settlements in other cases have already cost Britain's banks billions of dollars.

King leaves office next year, to be replaced by Canada's central bank governor, Mark Carney. Carney will take on a much broader mandate, adding financial regulation to the bank's traditional monetary policy focus.

The British economy emerged from recession in the third quarter, thanks in part to spending on the London Olympics, but may contract again in the fourth due to slowing activity in the eurozone.

The BoE said the underlying picture for global growth remained weak, and it was therefore vital that banks move quickly to ensure they have a solid basis to support the economy.

Related: OECD warns of further weakness in Europe

Eurozone risks were still considerable, it added.

"While the immediate risks have reduced, there remains a possibility of disorderly outcomes, which if they occurred would have major implications for U.K. financial stability," it said.

Banks have reduced their exposure to the sovereign debt crisis in the weakest eurozone countries but continue to have significant links to non-bank businesses in the region.

The FSA will begin its review immediately.

If capital buffers needed to be strengthened as a consequence, the FSA "should ensure that the firms either raise capital or take steps to restructure their business and balance sheets in ways that do not hinder lending to the real economy," the BoE said.

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First Published: November 29, 2012: 7:24 AM ET


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AT&T has best 4G network in Consumer Reports' rankings

AT&T's 4G network is smaller than Verizon's, but its 4G service is the smoothest, according to Consumer Reports.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- AT&T scored a surprising coup in the annual Consumer Reports survey of the top cell phone service providers.

AT&T, ranked dead last in the customer satisfaction survey for the third straight year, topped all wireless carriers in the magazine's 4G network ratings.

Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500) has by far the largest 4G-LTE network, serving more than 400 markets, compared to just over 100 for AT&T (T, Fortune 500) and more than 40 for Sprint (S, Fortune 500). But AT&T customers reported the fewest 4G-related problems of any carrier, including service interruptions, slow speeds or lack of service.

Still, Verizon once again topped the charts in the overall rankings of national carriers -- and it's pulling away from the rest of the pack. Verizon outscored Sprint by 6 points in Consumer Reports' customer satisfaction ratings, a gap that widened since last year. T-Mobile came in third, trailed slightly by AT&T, which got worst-in-class rankings for value, voice quality and customer support.

A year ago, Sprint trailed Verizon by just a point in the rankings, but the carrier's satisfaction rating fell by a dramatic six points over the course of the year.

What happened? In its survey, Consumer Reports noted that 4G customers are generally more satisfied than those with 3G service. Sprint's significantly smaller 4G could play a role in its customers' lower ratings.

Though 4G customers are generally happier, faster data connections can lead to higher cell phone bills, Consumer Reports pointed out. Verizon and AT&T both recently introduced shared data plans that encourage higher data usage. The nation's two largest carriers have reported that they are making more money on the new plans as customers ramp up their gigabytes.

For many customers, there are other options. Smaller, regional carriers like Consumer Cellular, U.S. Cellular (USM), and Credo all ranked ahead of their larger national rivals in Consumer Reports' survey.

Prepaid carriers Tracfone and Straight Talk also performed better than the national players, winning high marks for both quality and value. Two-thirds of Consumer Reports' survey respondents who switched to prepaid plans said they saved at least $20 a month. To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 6:16 AM ET


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Holy car auction Batman! Original Batmobile for sale

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The Batmobile used in the 1960s Batman TV series is expected to go up for auction in January, the Barrett Jackson auto auction house said Thursday.

The car could sell for millions, said Craig Jackson, chief executive of the auction firm.

Some particularly iconic TV and movie cars have gone for very high prices. For example, a highly modified 1964 Aston Martin DB5 used in James Bond films sold $4.6 million in 2010.

But Hollywood cars don't always command such high prices. Often there are multiple versions created for different types of shots and for promotional use, making it hard to to say that one car is definitively "the car."

Unlike most TV show cars, the Batmobile really is a singular creation. While there have been many imitations, this really is the only original.

The Batmobile started life as the Ford Motor Co (F, Fortune 500).'s 1955 Lincoln Futura concept car which, itself, was based on a Lincoln Mark II. Besides its pearl white paint job, the Futura actually looked very much like the Batmobile it would become over a decade later.

Related: Shah of Iran's Plymouth XNR sells for $935,000

Famed car customizer George Barris -- also known for creating the Munster Koach for the The Munsters and the Beverly Hillbillies' car -- was tasked with creating the Batmobile in 1966. With a tight deadline, he decided that modifying the Futura, rather than starting from scratch, was the way to go.

On television the Batmobile's technology allowed it to shoot flames, squirt oil and shoot tire slashers, but the car is not actually designed to do any of that.

Barris has been the sole owner of the Batmobile since he created it for the TV show.

Unlike the Aston Martin's multi-million dollar price tag, Jonathan Klinger, with the collector car insurance firm Hagerty Insurance, thinks the Batmobile will probably sell for a few hundred thousand dollars. The trouble, he said, is that there are so many very good Batmobile replicas around.

The only thing that makes this one unique is that it's the authentic original, but hardly anyone would be able to tell that by looking at it. Very good replicas can sell for under $100,000.

"I could be wrong," said Klinger. "I'll bet George Barris hopes I'm dead wrong."

Related: SRT Viper: A more refined beast

In an interview with CNNMoney, Barris said he has been offered large sums for the car in the past but he's never considered selling before. He agreed to sell this time, he said, because he thought it was time to move the car out of his studio and put it someplace where more people could enjoy it.

Excellent replicas of rare and desirable cars like Plymouth Hemi 'Cudas and Shelby Mustangs often sell for fractions of what real ones sell for, Jackson said.

"It's just a matter of where you put the commas and the decimals," he said. "They all slide over for the real thing." To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 9:04 AM ET


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U.S. economy grew 2.7% in third quarter

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The U.S. economy grew faster than previously reported in the third quarter, as businesses built up their inventories and international trade was stronger than expected.

Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the nation's economic health, grew at an annual rate of 2.7% from July to September, the Commerce Department said Thursday, faster than the 1.3% rate in the second quarter, and better than originally reported.

The Commerce Department estimates the quarterly GDP figures three times, and Thursday's data marks its second estimate. It had originally reported the economy grew 2% in the third quarter.

Related: World's largest economies by GDP size

The upward revision came mainly from two areas: exports were stronger than expected, growing at a 1.1% annual rate, and businesses built up larger inventories of their products.

But not all parts of the report pointed to a stronger economy.

The American consumer spent less than was initially reported, particularly on gasoline and other energy-related goods. Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, and in the third quarter it grew at a 1.4% annual rate, down from the initial 2% estimate.

Corporate profits rose at a 3.5% annual rate, driven primarily by gains at financial companies. But businesses cut back on their spending during the quarter, particularly on computers, transportation equipment and structures.

Overall, GDP growth below 3% a year is not very encouraging for the job market. One major economic theory suggests that the economy needs to grow around 3% a year to bring unemployment down by one percentage point. The unemployment rate was 7.9% as of October.

Going forward, economists are expecting slower growth in the fourth quarter, due to fiscal cliff fears and the effects of Superstorm Sandy.

"A slowing trend already looks likely in the fourth quarter due to storm disruptions and because business confidence has sunk to its lowest for a year, hit in particular by uncertainty caused by the looming fiscal cliff and ongoing worries about the euro zone crisis," Chris Williamson, chief economist for Markit, wrote in a note to clients.

To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 8:52 AM ET


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Eurozone business mood ticks up

Industry's confidence in the eurozone is returning but investment plans remain weak.

LONDON (CNNMoney) -- Businesses are feeling a little more upbeat about the eurozone but consumer confidence continues to fall, according to the European Commission's latest survey of economic sentiment.

A separate survey of industrial investment, also published by the Commission, showed it was too soon to call a recovery for the eurozone, which has slipped back into recession for the first time since 2009.

The economic sentiment indicator (ESI) for the eurozone rose 1.4 points to 85.7 in November, marking the first improvement since February.

"The euro area registered increases in industry and trade, which were partly offset by decreases among consumers, in construction and a virtually unchanged level in services," the Commission said.

The ESI is based on a survey of 125,000 firms and 40,000 consumers across the European Union.

Related: German sentiment bouyed by China, U.S.

Confidence among eurozone industrial companies was rising on the back of a more positive view of order books, production expectations and stocks of finished products.

However, managers in industry were planning to reduce investment by 1% in 2013, compared with 2012, the Commission noted.

And households in the 17-nation currency area were more pessimistic about their financial situation and concerned about prospects for employment.

Related: Service sector adds to eurozone gloom

Any fall in private sector investment next year will take place against the backdrop of further fiscal tightening by eurozone governments, and could lead to a prolonged recession.

The OECD and many private forecasters are expecting the eurozone economy to contract again in 2013, while the European Commission and IMF are predicting growth, albeit at very low rates. To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 9:27 AM ET


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Jobless claims decline as Sandy impact wanes

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time declined last week, a sign that the impact of Hurricane Sandy on jobs is starting to wane.

The Labor Department reported that 393,000 filed for initial jobless claims during the week, down from the 416,000 who sought help the previous weeks.

The number of those seeking help spiked earlier in the month due to the impact of Hurricane Sandy, as many hourly workers whose employers were forced to close in the wake of the storm filed for help.

Economists believe it will may still take a few more weeks before initial claims fall back to pre-storm levels. In the months before Sandy, the average number of unemployed filing for new claims was about 370,000. Excluding the impact from Sandy, it looks as if initial claims would have continued to hover around that level.

The report also showed 3.3 million people filed claims for their second week or more of jobless benefits during the week ended Nov. 17, down 70,000 from those seeking that extended help the previous week.

The U.S. labor market has been showing signs of improvement in recent months, with other Labor Department reports showing improvement in hiring and the number of job cuts declining.

But the spike in Hurricane-related job losses earlier in the month, while no longer as big a factor in the weekly jobless claims reading, could be reflected in the November jobs report due Dec. 7.

Deutsche Bank said Thursday that the jobless claims reports so far this month is leading to a forecast of only a 25,000 gain in payrolls, which would be the smallest gain of the year, and that unemployment will rise to 8% from 7.9% in October.

"The hurricane impact will be meaningful," said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist for the bank, in a note to clients.

Related: Unemployment benefits cost: $520 billion

One factor that could cause a new spike in jobless claims in the coming weeks is the closing of Hostess Brands on Nov. 16. About 15,000 of the 18,500 workers at the company likely got their layoff notices within the last week after a bankruptcy judge approved the request on Nov. 21 from the maker of Twinkies and Wonder Bread to start liquidating the company. About 5,000 of those workers had been on strike starting Nov. 9, but they were not eligible for jobless benefits until they lost their jobs. To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 8:42 AM ET


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Zucker to head CNN

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Former NBC Universal executive Jeff Zucker was tapped Thursday as the president of CNN Worldwide.

Zucker will succeed Jim Walton, the current president of CNN, in January. Walton took the reins at CNN in 2003 after getting his start with the company in 1981 as a video journalist, the network's entry level position for editorial staffers.

Walton announced in July that he was stepping aside, saying the network needed "a new leader who brings a different perspective, different experiences and a new plan."

Zucker was frequently mentioned as a leading candidate for the CNN job. The parent company of CNN, Time Warner (TWX, Fortune 500) controls a much wider programming and media portfolio including HBO and Cartoon Network.

"Jeff's experience as a news executive is unmatched for its breadth and success," said Phil Kent, president of Turner Broadcasting, the Time Warner unit which includes CNN. "He built and sustained the number-one brand in morning news, and under his watch NBC's signature news programming set a standard for quality and professionalism. As a programmer, a brand-builder and a leader, he will bring energy and new thinking to CNN. I couldn't be happier to welcome him or more excited about what he'll accomplish here."

Zucker will be based in New York and report to Kent.

The financial terms of Zucker's contract were not made public. The New York Times first reported late Tuesday that the hiring was imminent.

Zucker started his career at NBC and enjoyed a meteoric rise through the network's ranks. The Harvard graduate was named executive producer of "The Today Show" at 26 in 1992, helping to orchestrate one of the biggest ratings juggernauts in television. He later added the "NBC Nightly News with Tom Brokaw" to his portfolio.

After his tenure in the company's news division, Zucker jumped to the programming side of the business, and was named president of NBC Entertainment in 2000. He was then promoted to president of the NBC Universal Television Group and later tapped as CEO of the same division, which produced a bulk of the company's revenue.

Zucker's time at NBC was not without controversy. He moved the popular Jay Leno out of the network's late night lineup in 2010, which resulted in a sharp ratings drop and a revolt from affiliate stations. NBC was forced to reverse course.

NBC Universal parted ways with Zucker after Comcast (CMCSA) acquired the network in a blockbuster merger. He is currently the executive producer of Katie Couric's daytime talk show.

In CNN, Zucker inherits a cable network battered by ratings losses and a changing media landscape.

The network's ratings have declined precipitously in recent years, especially during the key money-making primetime hours. Meanwhile, rival News Corp (NWS).'s Fox has solidified its position with several top-rated evening shows. MSNBC, a Comcast unit that has long been a ratings laggard, has attracted new viewers by billing itself as the liberal answer to right-leaning Fox.

In the face of this changing landscape, CNN has stayed with a non-partisan programming strategy. Network executives have tried to boost ratings, hiring Piers Morgan to replace Larry King and bringing business reporter Erin Burnett over from CNBC. The primetime lineup was also shuffled, with top talent Anderson Cooper moving to the cornerstone 8 p.m. hour.

In spite of its challenges, CNN is on pace for its most profitable year ever, buoyed by lucrative contracts with affiliates and other revenue streams.

-- CNNMoney's Chris Isidore and Mark Thompson contributed reporting from London. To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 10:12 AM ET


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Fiscal cliff talks lift stocks

Click the chart for more stock market data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks advanced Thursday, as markets around the world react positively to signs that Washington might be moving toward a deal on the fiscal cliff.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 43 points, or 0.3%, while the S&P 500 added 0.5% and the Nasdaq gained 0.6%.

Lawmakers and the White House have been in talks for months to try and avoid the slew of year end tax increases and spending cuts known as the fiscal cliff .

Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will be on Capitol Hill Thursday for meetings with Congressional leaders Thursday, while President Obama is slated to have lunch with defeated Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

"Investors may be beginning to price in an increased likelihood of a fiscal cliff resolution before year end, as President Obama leverages social media and his reelection to pressure Republicans to accept either a compromise or the blame for falling off the cliff," said Sam Stovall, chief equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ.

Oil prices were also up on optimism over a deal, with crude prices gaining more than 2% to $88.60 a barrel.

Data showing an improving economy also provided a boost on Wall Street.

The government said U.S. gross domestic product grew at a 2.7% annual rate in the third quarter. Separately, weekly claims for unemployment benefits fell 23,000 to 393,000.

Pending home sales jumped 5.2% in October from a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors. Outside of a few spikes driven by the $8,000 home buyer's tax credit in 2009 and 2010, NAR said pending home sales are at the highest level since March 2007.

Related: Fear & Greed Index sitting in neutral

Investors also sifted through a batch of quarterly results. Grocery chain Kroger (KR, Fortune 500) shares rose sharply after the company posted better-than-expected results for the third quarter and also lifted its outlook for the year.

Shares of troubled bookseller Barnes & Noble (BKS, Fortune 500) slipped after the company posted a loss of 4 cents per share and a revenue decline of 0.4%.

Shares of Tiffany (TIF) tumbled after the luxury retailer reported third-quarter earnings and sales that missed estimates. The company cut its forecast for the full-year.

Many major retailers also reported same-store sales for November, including the start of the holiday shopping season over the Black Friday weekend, and the results were mostly disappointing.

Kohl's (KSS, Fortune 500)sales at stores open at least a year sank 5.6%, sending the retailer's stock down 9%.

Same-store sales at Gap (GPS, Fortune 500) improved, but the increase was less than expected.

Macy's (M, Fortune 500) shares dropped as November same-store sales unexpectedly slipped, and shares of Target (TGT, Fortune 500) were under pressure after the retailer reported a 0.1% decline in sales.

Research in Motion (RIMM) got a big boost from a Goldman Sachs upgrade. The BlackBerry maker also announced updates to its so-called developer ecosystem as the company works to drum up enthusiasm for the BlackBerry 10.

Meanwhile, world markets took their cues from the United States.

Asian exchanges gained, with the Nikkei adding 1.0% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng closing 1.1% higher.

China's marquee index, the Shanghai Composite, lagged its rivals and posted a fresh multi-year low. The index lost 0.5%, and remains well below the psychologically important 2,000 point mark.

Markets in Europe also capitalized on the fiscal talks momentum, gaining between 0.7% and 0.9% in afternoon trading.

Two European sentiment reports injected life into the ailing eurozone economy. The European Commission's reading on economic sentiment pushed higher in November, after two months of deceleration. And the EC's business climate indicator also edged higher.

Related: Why Italian bonds are rallying

Also in Europe, Italy's borrowing costs continued to fall as investors bet the European Central Bank will backstop the nation's massive bond market. Yields on Italian 10-year bonds fell to 4.47%, near the lowest levels since the euro crisis erupted in 2011, following two strong auctions.

Meanwhile, The dollar lost ground against the euro and the British pound, but strengthened against the Japanese yen.

Gold prices for December delivery also edged higher, rising 0.5% to $1,725.40 an ounce.

The price on the 10-year Treasury fell, pushing the yield up to 1.63% from 1.62% late Wednesday. To top of page

First Published: November 29, 2012: 9:42 AM ET


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Fiscal cliff helps mend Obama-CEO relations

Written By limadu on Kamis, 22 November 2012 | 23.53

Boeing's Jim McNerney was among 5 CEOs Obama called over the weekend about the fiscal cliff, which could give the White House and Big Biz an excuse to mend fences.

WASHINGTON (CNNMoney) -- Fiscal cliff negotiations are proving to be the perfect excuse for President Obama and the business community to smooth over a rocky four years.

The White House has struggled to make and keep friends in the business community, thanks to contentious policy fights over financial and health care reforms. Obama famously dubbed Wall Street as "fat cat bankers" and bashed health insurers for raising premiums and denying coverage.

The tension grew worse during the election when business groups doubled down their contributions to defeat Obama. The financial sector spent more $50 million supporting the President's opponent Mitt Romney, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

Thanks to a new crisis at hand -- the fiscal cliff -- there are some signs that the ice may be breaking. It helps that the White House and leaders of big businesses are united in their desire to avoid the fiscal cliff -- the Jan. 1 expiration of the Bush tax cuts and the Jan. 2 across-the-board spending cuts -- which economists fear will lead to an economic maelstrom.

Related: Bernanke: 'Stakes are high' on fiscal cliff

Last week, the president reached out to several CEOs to shore up support for his position in averting the cliff, which includes tax hikes for the nation's wealthy. He invited 12 CEOs of large U.S. companies like General Electric (GE, Fortune 500), Xerox (XRX, Fortune 500) and Honeywell International (HON, Fortune 500) for talks at the White House last week. Over the weekend he called another five CEOs including Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), according to CNN.

These talks could set the stage for a more congenial relationship in the next four years. Several business lobbying groups say they have not had a warm reception from the West Wing in the last four years.

Rob Nichols, president of the Financial Services Forum, a lobbying group for financial CEOs, said the fiscal cliff presents an "opportunity" for the business community and the White House to work together in a way that moves past the tension of the last four years.

The fiscal cliff has given CEOs plenty of opportunities lately to talk with top officials in the administration and Congress, said Matthew Miller, vice president at the Business Roundtable, which represents CEOs of big business.

"We're in the time of decision making... we have to fix the fiscal cliff. I think you're going to see a ramped-up engagement," Miller said.

Over the weekend, President Obama reached out to several CEOs that have been friendly toward his campaign, including Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA, Fortune 500), as well as Craig Jelinek of Costco (COST, Fortune 500), whose founder endorsed Obama in the campaign, Jim McNerney of Boeing (BA, Fortune 500), who chairs Obama's Export Council, and Tim Cook of Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500), whose employees contributed some $270,000 to Obama's re-election.

A White House official told CNN that all the meetings are key to "continuing conversations and outreach on the need to find a balanced deficit reduction solution that protects the middle class and continues to move our economy forward."

-- CNN's Jessica Yellin contributed to this report. To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 10:37 AM ET


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Mortgage rates fall to record lows again

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The nation's extremely favorable mortgage rates sank even lower this week, setting records for both the 30-year and 15-year fixed rate loans.

The 30-year fell to 3.31% from 3.34% last week, according to Freddie Mac (FMCC, Fortune 500), the government controlled mortgage backer. The 15-year rate averaged 2.63%, compared with 2.65% a week ago.

According to Keith Gumbinger, vice president of mortgage information company HSH Corp., the current conditions mean it may make sense for current mortgage borrowers and new homebuyers to look at shorter-term loans.

Related: Most affordable cities for buying homes

"If you're looking for Black Friday deals and door-busters, it's pretty hard to beat the savings," he said. "To really rack up savings, you might also consider a purchase or refinance using a loan with a term shorter than the traditional 30 years."

The numbers add up like this: Homeowners current paying off 30-year loans with rates of 4% spend about $1,098 a month in mortgage payments on a $200,000 balance, paying a total interest cost of $143,739.

Refinancing at 2.63% for 15 years would cost them about $250 a month more, but they would wind up paying just $42,250 in total interest and their payments would end years earlier.

Refinancing into another 30-year loan at 3.31% would cost homeowners only $877 a month, saving $221 from the existing loan. But the total interest paid would come to $115,725 over the life of the loan, a difference of more than $73,000 compared with the 15-year mortgage.

Related: 'I'm trapped in a high-rate mortgage

Low interest rates are very helpful to the housing market by slashing the monthly costs of ownership, which homebuyers often focus on when calculating if they can afford to buy a home. With home prices also down about 30% from their recent peak, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index, and employment numbers gradually improving, affording a home has rarely been easier.

The report adds to other recent good news for housing markets, with existing home sales, prices and new construction all recording upticks. To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 11:02 AM ET


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Federal investigators keep circling Steven Cohen and SAC Capital

The feds are circling around Steve Cohen, targeting employees of his firm SAC Capital for insider trading.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The feds have been circling hedge fund titan Steven Cohen and his firm SAC Capital Advisors for some time, sniffing around for signs of insider trading and making peripheral strikes on people who've worked there.

They swooped in again on Tuesday, getting a bit closer to their prize. Though they didn't name Cohen in their criminal complaint, they charged his former portfolio manager Mathew Martoma with insider trading in a $276 million scheme.

"They have followed the trail, so to speak, from witness to witness, from defendant to defendant," said Thomas Gorman, a former senior counsel in the enforcement division of the Securities and Exchange Commission who now represents defendants of SEC cases.

SAC Capital spokesman Jonathan Gasthalter denied any wrongdoing by his firm or its owner, and said that they actually helped with the investigation.

"Mr. Cohen and SAC are confident that they have acted appropriately and will continue to cooperate with the government's inquiry," said Gasthalter.

The feds have targeted seven other employees of SAC Capital in the last two years on allegations of insider trading, including two who worked at its subsidiary, CR Intrinsic Investors. Three of the SAC employees -- Choo Beng Lee, Donald Longueuil and Jon Horvath -- pleaded guilty. Others made deals with the feds, including Noah Freeman, who was a cooperating witness, and Jonathan Hollander, who settled with the government.

"In the case of Mr. Cohen, they've found people that used to work with him, but they haven't found evidence that he's involved in insider trading yet," said Gorman. "What they're doing is they're sort of following the witness trail."

Preet Bharara, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, called the Martoma case the "most lucrative" insider trading scheme ever. His criminal complaint charges Martoma with securities trading fraud. In it, Bharara details Martoma's alleged pharma stock pump and dump scheme, based on inside information of Alzheimer's drug trials at Elan (ELN) and Pfizer's (PFE, Fortune 500) Wyeth.

Martoma collected a bonus of more than $9 million before he was terminated from Cohen's firm in 2009, according to federal documents. Martoma's lawyers maintain his innocence.

Related: Hedge funder charged in $276 million insider trading case

The U.S. Attorney did not identify Martoma's hedge fund and did not name the hedge fund's owner. But the SEC, which also leveled charges against Martoma and his hedge fund advisory firm, identified the firm as CR Intrinsic Investors, which is a subsidiary of SAC Capital Advisors.

SAC Capital is the $13 billion hedge fund run by Cohen, who placed fifth on AR, a hedge fund trade magazine's, rich list this year, earning $585 million in 2011.

In its complaint, the SEC said that Martoma worked closely with "Portfolio Manager A," described as the "owner and founder of Investment Adviser A and CR Intrinsic" and "a senior portfolio manager at Investment Adviser A."

The SEC also named the neurologist, Dr. Sidney Gilman, who first provided inside information to Martoma and then cooperated with feds. He paid a fine to settle the case and avoided criminal charges.

"Mr. Gilman knew about the individuals he dealt with, but he didn't know about Mr. Cohen or SAC Capital," said Gorman. "So the government didn't have the information to charge Mr. Cohen or SAC Capital."

Related: A who's who of Steve Cohen's web

The feds have been cracking down on Wall Street shenanigans, like the insider trading allegedly perpetrated by Martoma from 2006 to 2008. April Brooks, special agent in charge with the Federal Bureau of Investigation, said the arrest of Martoma was "the latest in the FBI's five-year campaign to root out insider trading at hedge funds and expert networking firms, which has resulted in more than 70 arrests to date." To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 2:15 PM ET


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NTSB drops 'unacceptable' BlackBerry for iPhone

The NTSB says its RIM devices have been failing 'at inopportune times and at an unacceptable rate.'

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The National Transportation Safety Board is the latest federal agency to ditch its BlackBerry phones for Apple's iPhone -- and it had a few scathing words about why it's making the switch.

Research in Motion's BlackBerry devices "have been failing both at inopportune times and at an unacceptable rate," the agency wrote in a procurement request issued last week.

NTSB spokesman Eric Weiss, citing procurement rules, declined to name any specific problems the agency has had with its BlackBerry phones. RIM (RIMM) has suffered a few high-profile outages, including a global, three-day disruption last year.

"The NTSB requires effective, reliable and stable communication capabilities to carry-out its primary investigative mission and to ensure employee safety in remote locations," the agency wrote. "Due to performance issues with the blackberry [sic] devices, the NTSB desires to transition to a different device."

RIM declined to comment specifically on the NTSB's criticisms.

"We have 1 million government customers in North America alone who depend on BlackBerry, and more than 400,000 government customers worldwide upgraded their devices in the past year," the company said in a written statement. "We are committed to the mobility needs of government agencies around the world and will continue to meet these needs with BlackBerry 10."

The NTSB isn't waiting around for BlackBerry 10, the next-generation platform that RIM plans to launch on Jan. 30. It intends to switch to Apple's (AAPL, Fortune 500) iPhone 5 running on Verizon' (VZ, Fortune 500)s network. That's the only device that is both available from its existing wireless vendor and is "currently supportable by existing staff resources," the agency said.

The NTSB has a staff of around 400, not all of whom have agency-supplied phones, according to Weiss. Its switch won't put much of a dent in BlackBerry's sales, but the NTSB is just one of a growing wave of government groups moving away from the device, which was once ubiquitous in Washington's power corridors.

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement switched to iPhones recently, saying RIM's technology "can no longer meet" its needs. The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration made the swap earlier this year.

Most ominously for RIM, the U.S. Department of Defense is planning to relax its BlackBerry-only policies. The agency posted a procurement request last month for software to manage at least 162,500 Apple and Android mobile devices. DOD hopes to add them to its IT mix in the near future. To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 2:28 PM ET


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Stocks close higher despite more Europe worries

Click chart for more markets data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Stocks closed out a quiet pre-Thanksgiving trading day higher as investors focused on positive U.S. economic numbers instead of renewed questions over Greece's solvency.

European finance ministers failed to finalize the details of a debt-reduction package for Greece before the close of their meeting Wednesday.

Still, the Dow Jones industrial average, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq closed up between 0.2% and 0.4%. Trading volume was light ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday and a short trading day Friday.

The inability of finance ministers to reach a deal over Greece has reignited worries about European sovereign debt, but European stocks closed higher Wednesday.

Britain's FTSE 100 and the DAX in Germany edged up 0.1% and France's CAC 40 rose 0.4%. European finance ministers had been expected to agree to release the funds for Greece so it would be able to make its December payments.

In the U.S., new jobless claims totaled 410,000 last week, impacted by storm conditions in the Northeast, but that was down from a week ago and lower than what economists had predicted. The University of Michigan's final version of its consumer sentiment index for November moved higher from a month ago but was worse than expected.

In corporate news, Deere (DE, Fortune 500) dipped 4% after the equipment maker released quarterly results. Shares of jewelry maker Zale (ZLC) dropped nearly 30% after the company reported a steep quarterly loss. Publisher Scholastic (SCHL) stock dropped nearly 18% after it lowered its forecasts for next year.

Salesforce.com (CRM)'s stock fared much better, closing up 9%, after the cloud computing company reported earnings that beat forecasts.

YY (YY), the first Chinese IPO since April, jumped 8% in its debut on Nasdaq.

U.S. stocks ended flat Tuesday, amid a sharp sell-off in Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) shares after the company reported a massive loss. HP's shares rose 2% Wednesday.

World markets: Asian markets closed higher. The Shanghai Composite gained 1.1%, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong rose 1.4%, and Japan's Nikkei posted a 0.9% gain.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar was higher against the euro and the Japanese yen, but slipped versus the British pound.

Fear and Greed Index

Oil for January delivery rose 63 cents to $87.38 a barrel. Turmoil in the Middle East has contributed to oil price volatility in recent days, with ongoing violence between the Israeli military and the Hamas leadership of Gaza.

Gold futures for December delivery rose $4.60 to $1,728.20 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged lower, pushing the yield up to 1.68% from 1.59% late Tuesday. To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 9:44 AM ET


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Black Friday: Shorter lines, but bigger checks

Fewer shoppers are expected in stores this Black Friday weekend, but some experts are predicting big sales and deep deals on the retail holiday.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Despite stores falling over themselves with incentives and earlier openings than ever this Thanksgiving, fewer people are expected to turn up for Black Friday sales.

An estimated 147 million shoppers plan to shop this coming weekend, down from 220 million last year, according to the industry trade group the National Retail Federation.

For many Americans, it's hard to make holiday shopping a priority in a year when the "fiscal cliff" and slow economic recovery are causing worry lines. They are less willing to spend freely with the looming specter of having to pay higher taxes after the end of the year, when the Bush-era tax cuts expire.

Many shoppers in the Northeast are also still dealing with the aftermath of of Superstorm Sandy, which has distracted residents and retailers alike from holiday preparation.

With the state of the economy and holiday budgets hanging in the balance, experts say it's hard to entice people with Black Friday deals. Others may be holding off for better deals later in the season.

"Consumers are continuing to put off purchases until they absolutely have to buy or they feel there are no better deals to be had," Robert Passikoff, founder and president of brand research consultancy Brand Keys. "People are waiting longer and longer for better sales, for the economy to turn, for electronic coupons."

But the more trepidation shoppers seem to have, the more retailers are pulling out all the stops to reel them in.

The holiday deal blitz started as early as September, with stores like Toys R Us, Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500), Kmart, Target (TGT, Fortune 500) and Best Buy (BBY, Fortune 500) offering incentives like layaway plans, price matching and apps.

Stores have also been gunning to be the first to open for the big annual holiday sales. As it stands now, Toys R Us and Wal-Mart will be the first to open their doors for bargain hunters at 8 p.m. on Thursday, Nov. 22, just as some people are tucking into desserts after their turkey dinners.

That's even earlier than last year, when the toy store opened at 9 p.m. and Wal-Mart at 10 p.m. Target will open at 9 p.m. compared to midnight last year. Macy's (M, Fortune 500) stores will open at midnight and JC Penney (JCP, Fortune 500) at 6 a.m on Friday.

Related: Black Thursday is the new Black Friday

Black Friday traditionally marks the start of the holiday shopping season each year. Stores consider it the most important time of the year, because they can make up to 40% of their annual sales in the November-December period.

Even with fewer shoppers headed to stores, some experts are predicting that sales will be strong. According to MasterCard Advisors SpendingPulse, which estimates total U.S. retail sales across all payment forms including cash and check, Black Friday 2012 could exceed $21 billion in sales, up from $19.3 billion in 2011.

Also, the retail trade group NRF has been woefully wrong with its estimates before. Last year, it expected 152 million shoppers and 220 million showed up.

While people are more cautious about their spending, they are more confident than they have been over the last several years, some say.

"We could go back to pre-recession level retail sales this year," said Hana Ben-Shabat, a retail partner at consultant A.T. Kearney. "There's more comparison and sensitivity about prices, but eventually, they do buy what they want to buy. That's a very different reality than in 2008."

Many retailers are taking heat for their early opening times, since it means that workers have to miss out on Thanksgiving celebrations with their families. More than 40 petitions have been launched on Change.org asking retailers including Sears, Target, Wal-Mart and Kohl's to "give Thanksgiving back to families."

Related: Why is sucks to work Black Friday

At Wal-Mart, a group of workers are planning a protest on Black Friday, which could make for an unpleasant shopping experience for people headed to the stores of the nation's biggest retailer. Wal-Mart says that the protesters make up just a handful of its 1.3 million workforce, but organizers of the expected protests say more than 1,000 activities have been planned nationwide.

Support for the demonstrations have swelled as Black Friday approaches. More than 30,000 people "like" the organization's Facebook page and they have collected more than $60,000 to support workers who participate in the walk offs.

For extreme Black Friday shoppers like Joni Crothers, nothing will get in the way of her shopping mission. Last year, Crothers came away with $10,000 worth of goods for just $2,000. She donated everything she bought to local families in need.

"We need a way to stretch our money as quickly and as best as we can, and it's amazing how much money you can save," Crothers said.

Toys and electronics are usually the biggest draw for Black Friday shoppers. Toys R Us says it has already seen a shortage of this season's hot toys like the Hasbro's Furby and Hot Wheel's Power Wheels Dune Racer.

Related: Black Friday deals to avoid

Best Buy, Target and Wal-Mart are offering steep discounts on electronics like iPads and LCD HDTVs.

If the possibility of scoring a deal isn't enough of a draw, for many people it's a tradition they are not willing to give up, says Trae Bodge, senior editor of RetailMeNot.com Insider. She said that for some people there's something compelling about waiting in long lines after Thanksgiving.

"Despite the rise of online shopping and the economy, there is still a strong interest to do that whole Black Friday thing," she said. "There's a weird tradition that goes on." To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 3:03 PM ET


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China's factories show accelerated growth

Factory activity increased in China this month.

HONG KONG (CNNMoney) -- China's manufacturing industry showed further signs of improvement in November, according to a key early indicator.

HSBC said its initial Chinese purchasing managers' index, or PMI, rose to a 13-month high of 50.4 in November from 49.5 last month. The reading ticked above the benchmark of 50, meaning that manufacturing is now in a state of accelerated expansion. The bank's final reading for the month will be released Dec. 1.

"This confirms that the economic recovery continues to gain momentum towards the year end," Hongbin Qu, an economist at HSBC, said in a statement.

"However, it is still the early stage of recovery and global economic growth remains fragile," Qu said. "This calls for a continuation of policy easing to strengthen the recovery."

China's economy has grown at an average of around 10% a year for the past three decades, allowing the country to rocket past international competition to become the world's second largest economy. Along the way, China's markets have opened to the rest of the world, trade has increased dramatically and many of China's citizens have joined an emerging middle class.

But last month, Beijing reported that GDP growth slowed in the third quarter to 7.4% as weak demand -- especially in the eurozone -- weighed on exports.

The downturn, however, is beginning to look like a temporary phenomenon. China's economy is heavily dependent on the manufacturing sector, which appears to be mounting a strong recovery.

Zhiwei Zhang, an economist at Nomura, said in a note that the new HSBC data bolsters forecasts of a GDP rebound in the fourth quarter.

Related: China's Communist Party anoints new leaders

The turnaround comes at a crucial time for China's Communist Party, which last week completed a once-per-decade leadership transition.

The party, meeting in Beijing, named seven men to its powerful Politburo Standing Committee. Xi Jinping, a chemical engineer with a prestigious pedigree, was installed as the next party boss and tapped to be China's next president. To top of page

First Published: November 21, 2012: 9:44 PM ET


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Wal-mart workers get ready for Black Friday protest

Wal-Mart employees in June joined a rally in Los Angeles to protest what they call retaliation from the nation's largest retailer.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Shoppers and stores around the country are preparing for big Black Friday sales, but a group of Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) workers are getting ready for a protest.

"I'll do whatever it takes to speak out about our concerns -- I'm willing to put my job on the line," says Monique Velasquez, a single mother of five who works in Wal-Mart's photo department in Pico Rivera, California. Velasquez plans to join the protest on Friday.

The union-backed group OUR Walmart, which has helped organize the post-Thanksgiving walk-out, expects thousands of workers around the country to participate. Workers say they are joining the protest to ask the country's largest employer to end what they call retaliation against speaking out for better pay, fair schedules and affordable health care.

In an effort to stop the workers from protesting, Wal-Mart filed a complaint last week with the National Labor Relations Board, claiming that the protesters violated labor laws.

The federal labor agency, which was under pressure to act within 72 hours of getting the complaint, has said that it is "highly unlikely" to have a ruling on the complaint in time to stop the Black Friday protests. Nancy Cleeland, a spokeswoman for the NLRB said the complaint is too complex to make a ruling so soon.

Wal-Mart's complaint claimed that the United Food and Commercial Workers Union and its subsidiary OUR Walmart unlawfully organized picket lines and other demonstrations in the past six months. The retailer said the actions have disrupted business, and that the workers' ongoing actions violate the National Labor Relations Act, which prohibits picketing for any period over 30 days without filing a petition to form a union.

On Tuesday, OUR Walmart filed its own charge with the federal agency, claiming that Wal-Mart tried to deter workers from participating in the protests and interfered with their right to speak up.

The labor agency's Cleeland said that if it finds that Wal-Mart's claims have merit, it will go to court to seek an injunction on behalf of the retailer to stop the union-backed group from organizing the protests.

If the agency doesn't find merit, the charge will be dismissed or withdrawn, she said.

Labor law experts say that Wal-Mart could have a tough time winning this one. That's because the labor laws that prohibit picketing over 30 days applies only to protesters trying to form a union or gain collective bargaining rights, not employees who are protesting against retaliation.

If the employees' claims are true, Wal-Mart could itself be found in violation of the National Labor Rights Act, which protects workers against retaliation for speaking up, according to Angela Cornell, director of the Labor Law Clinic at Cornell University's law school.

For its part, Wal-Mart plans to go full steam ahead on Black Friday. It will start doling out its "doorbuster" deals at 8 p.m. on Thursday, just after shoppers finish their Thanksgiving feasts.

Related: Wal-Mart Black Friday deals

The retailer is offering special deals to customers who are in line inside its stores at 10 p.m., guaranteeing three special offers -- the Apple iPad2, an Emerson 32 inch TV and an LG Blu-ray player.

On Monday, the retailer tweeted: "Don't believe everything you read in the union press releases. We don't think their #BlackFriday activity will have an impact on customers."

OUR Wal-Mart, meanwhile, has more than 30,000 "likes" on its Facebook page, and has collected more than $60,000 in donations to support workers who walk off work in protest on Black Friday. To top of page

First Published: November 22, 2012: 12:06 AM ET


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Fitch cuts Sony, Panasonic debt to junk

Sony and Panasonic were downgraded Thursday by Fitch.

HONG KONG (CNNMoney) -- Fitch Ratings downgraded Sony and Panasonic debt to junk status Thursday and said the ailing Japan-based consumer electronic makers both needed radical restructuring to improve their prospects.

Panasonic's rating was cut to BB from BBB-, while Sony was moved to BB- from BBB-, with a negative outlook. Both companies now carry speculative, or junk, ratings.

The downgrades are the latest in a string for Sony and Panasonic, which have been haemorrhaging money and struggling to find positive momentum.

The companies, once the crown jewels of the high-tech Japanese economy, have been hit in recent years by a strong yen and weak demand for televisions. Sony now has a market cap of just more than $10 billion, and hasn't turned a profit in four years.

Its shares are trading near their lowest levels in three decades, and even closed below the 800 yen mark in Tokyo earlier this month.

"We think there is little headroom for Sony," Fitch's Steve Durose said in a statement.

"Without a radical change to the structure of their businesses it is difficult to see profitability improving enough for [Sony and Panasonic] to regain investment-grade ratings," Durose said.

Related: Something is rotten in Japan

Panasonic seems to be in better shape than Sony, and less dependent on its struggling core electronics business. Sony is the subject of frequent speculation as a possible takeover target, with cash-rich competitors like Apple, Google and Microsoft all reported as possible suitors.

Related: Can Sony be saved?

Sony made a play of its own in recent months, taking a stake in Olympus, the scandal-plagued company embroiled in an epic accounting fraud. But analysts remain skeptical that Sony will be able to achieve a long-term turnaround.

"The future of both companies will depend on their ability to curb loss-making segments and rediscover the kind of technological leadership which historically enabled them to develop must-have products," Durose said. To top of page

First Published: November 22, 2012: 5:39 AM ET


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Service sector adds to eurozone gloom

Germany's services sector is increasingly gloomy about its prospects

LONDON (CNNMoney) -- Service industry companies in the eurozone are more pessimistic about their prospects than at any time since early 2009, pointing to little chance of a return to growth for the region soon, according to business surveys published Thursday.

Preliminary data showed the weakest reading for service sector activity in 40 months, and expectations for the year ahead were at their lowest since March 2009. Sentiment in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, fell particularly sharply.

Markit's composite purchasing managers' index (PMI) for November stood little changed at 45.8, compared with 45.7 in October.

A fall in the services PMI to 45.7 from 46 was partly offset by a slower rate of decline in manufacturing. Any reading below 50 signals contraction. Markit said the surveys pointed to contraction of 0.5% in the eurozone economy in the fourth quarter.

Eurozone gross domestic product shrank by 0.2% in the second quarter, and 0.1% in the third, leaving the 17-nation currency area stuck in recession.

Related: Eurozone risks rising as outlook darkens

"While it is reassuring to have seen signs of stabilization in some survey indicators, the overall rate of decline remains severe and has spread to encompass Germany, suggesting the situation could deteriorate further in the coming months," Markit chief economist Chris Williamson said.

Jobs were being shed at their second-fastest rate since January 2010 as companies become increasingly anxious about the economic outlook and seek to keep costs under control.

"All this suggests that any swift return to growth is unlikely," Williamson said.

Germany saw divergent trends in November, with manufacturing registering a slower drop in output compared with October, and new export orders declining at their lowest rate for six months helped by stronger demand from China.

The overall German PMI reading stood at 47.9, up from 47.7 in October. But the German services sector saw its fastest contraction since June 2009, and the outlook remains bleak.

"The survey panel noted widespread worries that client budgets will be cut in 2013, alongside expectations that the euro area crisis will further undermine the German recovery," said Markit senior economist Tim Moore.

The European Commission forecasts growth of 0.1% for the eurozone in 2013, but with more spending cuts and tax rises to come in countries such as France, Italy and Spain, and the prolonged wrangling over Greece's bailout holding back sentiment, many private forecasters are predicting another year of recession.

PMI data for France, which was stripped of its AAA credit rating Monday by Moody's, showed a mirror image to Germany, with manufacturing continuing to contract at a sharp pace while services sector firms reported a more moderate fall in output than October.

Still, the overall French PMI reading of 44.6, up from 43.5 in October, continues to reflect a marked rate of decline for Europe's second biggest economy, and was the ninth consecutive month of contraction.

Related: No deal for Greece as talks drag

A prolonged recession in 2013 would undermine many of the assumptions underpinning eurozone government budgets and bailout programs, and could lead to another flare up in the sovereign debt crisis if borrowing needs rise and investors lose faith in the ability of the region to chart a path back to growth.

Bond yields for some of the eurozone's more vulnerable states held steady Thursday, but have risen from lows posted in the wake of the European Central Bank's announcement in September that it was ready to buy bonds of eurozone nations if they signed up for formal bailout programs.

Markit said forward-looking indicators in the manufacturing sector also pointed to continuing weakness in the months ahead, with large falls in the volume of goods purchased and inventories.

Employment across the eurozone fell for the eleventh month in succession, with the rate of decline accelerating in services but easing in manufacturing. German employment dropped at the fastest rate since January 2010, while the eurozone periphery saw the fastest rate of job losses since July.

To top of page

First Published: November 22, 2012: 7:54 AM ET


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Stocks slip on global economic concerns

Written By limadu on Kamis, 15 November 2012 | 23.53

Click chart for more markets data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Stocks fell slightly Thursday, as investors weighed a bigger-than-expected jump in jobless claims and turmoil overseas.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq dropped between 0.2% and 0.5% Thursday.

While investors were worried about the higher-than-expected jobless claims figures, they also stayed focused on global headlines.

China's ruling Communist Party named its next seven leaders, the eurozone officially entered a double-dip recession, and Israel launched a series of blistering air strikes Wednesday on what it said were terrorist targets in Gaza.

But above all else, fiscal cliff fears in the United States remain a heightened concern for market participants.

"With expected tax increases, investors are looking for opportunities to sell as opposed to reasons to buy," said Jay Feuerstein, CEO and CIO of 2100 Xenon. "Our stock market tries to rally and then by midday falls flat. I'm looking for any news or hint of conciliation politically, otherwise I think it's dangerous trading."

President Obama met with CEOs Wednesday to discuss the fiscal cliff and is scheduled to meet with congressional leaders Friday.

The report on initial jobless claims showed the lingering effects of Superstorm Sandy in the Northeast: 439,000 people filed for their first week of unemployment benefits last week. That was much higher than the forecast of 388,000 and is the highest jobless claims tally since April 2011.

Fear & Greed Index

BP (BP) agreed to plead guilty to criminal charges over the Deepwater Horizon disaster in the Gulf of Mexico and will pay $4 billion to resolve criminal charge.

Meanwhile, the Consumer Price Index showed that inflation remained tame in October, ticking up 0.1% during the month, as expected.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's monthly manufacturing survey showed a drop in activity. Analysts had predicted that November manufacturing would stay flat.

Around 1:20 p.m. ET, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is due to deliver remarks on the housing market at an event in Atlanta. Regional Fed presidents Jeffrey Lacker of Richmond, Charles Evans of Chicago, Richard Fisher of Dallas and Charles Plosser of Philadelphia are also scheduled to give speeches Thursday.

U.S. stocks fell more than 1% Wednesday.

The eurozone officially slipped into recession in the third quarter, as official figures showed growth among the 17 euro countries shrinking 0.1%. It's the second recession in the area since 2009.

European stocks closed lower Thursday. Britain's FTSE 100 shed 0.8%, the DAX in Germany lost 0.8% and France's CAC 40 fell 0.4%.

Full coverage of Europe's Debt Crisis

On Thursday, China's ruling Communist Party named seven men to its powerful Politburo Standing Committee in a highly orchestrated ceremony that emphasized party unity and gave little hope for immediate economic reforms.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite dropped 1.2% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dropped 1.5%%, while Japan's Nikkei surged 1.9%.

Related: Meet China's new leaders

Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) shares slid 4% after the retail giant's revenue fell short of forecasts, and the company cited currency fluctuations and "economic conditions," as negative factors impacting its sales.

"Current macroeconomic conditions continue to pressure our customers," said Charles Holley, Wal-Mart's executive vice president and chief financial officer, in a statement. The retailer also expanded its internal probe of foreign corruption practices.

Target (TGT, Fortune 500) shares rose slightly after the retailer reported earnings in line with forecasts, but missed revenue forecasts.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro but rose against he British pound and the Japanese yen.

Oil for December delivery rose 38 cents to $86.70 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $17.90 to $1,712.30 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell, pushing the yield up to 1.61% from 1.59% late Wednesday. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 9:48 AM ET


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Know your flier's rights

Did you know: U.S. airlines are not obligated to compensate you for a delayed flight.

(Money Magazine) -- Whoever dubbed the holidays the most wonderful time of year must not have needed to fly home.

Still, there are things you can do to protect yourself in case of a major travel disruption, whether caused by an overbooked plane or the next Superstorm Sandy. Here's a look at some commonplace travel setbacks, and how to cope with them.

You get bumped: When you're bumped involuntarily, you don't have to take a voucher, says Alexander Anolik, a California lawyer who specializes in travel.

On U.S. routes, the law entitles you to a cash payment of 200% of the one-way fare, up to $650, if your new flight will arrive one to two hours later than the original.

More than two hours and you get 400%, up to $1,300. If the fare isn't on your ticket, the sum is based on the cheapest ticket sold.

Your bags are lost: When an airline loses your bag on a U.S. flight, it must refund bag fees and reimburse you up to $3,300.

You'll need to establish how much your stuff is worth, though, so photograph valuables, hold on to any receipts for new items, and file a loss complaint with the airline, also e-mailing the DOT at airconsumer@dot.gov.

Your flight is delayed: U.S. airlines are not obligated to compensate you when you're delayed -- though if you're stuck on the tarmac for more than two hours, they must provide snacks and water.

Take an international flight, however, and you may be better off.

Related: Maximize your frequent flier miles

People flying into the EU on a European carrier (or out of an EU airport on any airline) get meal reimbursements and, for delays of more than five hours, a refund.

Keep the trip on track

Flying isn't the only place you could run into problems. Try these strategies for resolving other common travel tough spots:

A missed cruise: Missed the boat because of an airline delay?

Unless you booked your flight through the cruise line, the line is not required to compensate you. Carolyn Spencer Brown of CruiseCritic.com suggests flying in a day early or getting an insurance policy that covers weather problems (most start at 5% of the trip cost).

An overbooked hotel: When a hotel can't honor your confirmed reservation, it's responsible for rebooking you elsewhere to avoid a contract violation.

Send your questions to The Help Desk

Typically, if the new room is more expensive, your original hotel will cover the difference. If no better or equivalent room can be found, try asking for a credit for a future stay or another perk. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 6:26 AM ET


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Stocks: Mixed trading ahead

Click on chart for more premarket data

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stock futures signaled a mixed open Thursday, as investors weighed a bigger-than-expected jump in jobless claims and turmoil overseas.

Early Thursday, investors were mulling over global headlines. China's ruling Communist Party named its next seven leaders, the eurozone officially entered a double-dip recession and Israel launched a series of blistering air strikes Wednesday on what it said were terrorist targets in Gaza.

BP (BP PLC) said it was close to signing a deal with the U.S. government to resolve criminal claims from the 2010 Deepwater Horizon disaster in the Gulf of Mexico. But above all else in the United States, fiscal cliff fears remain a heightened concern for market participants.

"With expected tax increases, investors are looking for opportunities to sell as opposed to reasons to buy," said Jay Feuerstein, CEO and CIO of 2100 Xenon. "Our stock market tries to rally and then by midday falls flat. I'm looking for any news or hint of conciliation politically, otherwise I think it's dangerous trading."

President Obama met with CEOs Wednesday to discuss the fiscal cliff and is scheduled to meet with Congressional leaders Friday.

The report on initial jobless claims showed the lingering effects of Superstorm Sandy in the Northeast: 439,000 people filed for their first week of unemployment benefits last week. That was much higher than the forecast of 388,000 in jobless claims and it is the highest jobless claims tally since the last week of April, 2011.

Meanwhile, the Consumer Price Index showed that inflation remained tame in October, ticking up 0.1% during the month, as expected.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia will release its monthly manufacturing survey at 10 a.m. ET.

Around 1:20 p.m. ET, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is due to deliver remarks on the housing market at an event in Atlanta. Regional Fed presidents Jeffrey Lacker of Richmond, Charles Evans of Chicago, Richard Fisher of Dallas and Charles Plosser of Philadelphia are also scheduled to give speeches Thursday.

U.S. stocks fell more than 1% Wednesday.

Fear & Greed Index

The eurozone officially slipped into recession in the third quarter, as official figures showed growth among the 17 euro countries shrinking 0.1%. It's the second recession in the area since 2009.

European stocks were lower Thursday morning. Britain's FTSE 100 shed 0.4%, the DAX in Germany lost 0.9% and France's CAC 40 fell 0.5%.

Full coverage on Europe's Debt Crisis

On Thursday, China's ruling Communist Party named seven men to its powerful Politburo Standing Committee in a highly orchestrated ceremony that emphasized party unity and held out little immediate prospect of bolder economic reforms.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite dropped 1.2% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dropped 1.5%%, while Japan's Nikkei surged 1.9%.

Related: Meet China's new leaders

Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) shares slid 3% in premarket trading, after the retail giant's revenue fell short of forecasts, and the company cited currency fluctuations and "economic conditions," as negative factors impacting its sales.

"Current macroeconomic conditions continue to pressure our customers," said Charles Holley, Wal-Mart's executive vice president and chief financial officer, in a statement.

Target (TGT, Fortune 500) shares rose 1.2% in premarket trading after the retailer reported earnings in line with forecasts, but missed revenue forecasts.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro but rose against he British pound and the Japanese yen.

Oil for December delivery rose 22 cents to $86.54 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $6.20 to $1,723.90 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell, pushing the yield up to 1.61% from 1.59% late Wednesday. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 6:14 AM ET


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Wal-Mart expands foreign corruption probe

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Wal-Mart is expanding its investigation of alleged corrupt business practices beyond Mexico to other nations, the company said on Thursday.

The company said that its investigations regarding allegations of potential Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) violations now extend to include Brazil, China and India.

Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) spokesperson David Tovar said that the company has spent more than $35 million on its global FCPA compliance review efforts over the past 18 months.

Last spring, Wal-Mart said it had been conducting an "extensive investigation" since 2011 into its compliance with a federal law that prohibits American companies from bribing foreign officials. The investigation stems from allegations that Eduardo Castro-Wright, the former CEO of Wal-Mart de Mexico and former head of Wal-Mart U.S., orchestrated $24 million worth of alleged bribes in Mexico to streamline construction projects, dating from 2005.

Related: Wal-Mart's biggest blunders

"We will not tolerate noncompliance anywhere or at any level of the company," Tovar said in a statement. "We are working diligently to strengthen our compliance programs and dedicating considerable resources to this effort."

Shares of Wal-Mart were down 3% in premarket trading despite reporting slightly better-than-expected third quarter earnings early Thursday and raising the low end of its full-year earnings guidance. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 9:09 AM ET


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Jobless claims shoot up after Sandy

Businesses closed by Hurricane Sandy helped cause a jump in jobless claims filings last week.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The number of people filing for first time unemployment benefits soared 78,000 last week to the highest level in more than a year and a-half, as the effects of Hurricane Sandy the previous week were reflected in government data.

The Labor Department reported Thursday that 439,000 people filed for first-time benefits last week, the highest number since April 2011.

The number of people filing for help the previous week was also revised up by 6,000 to 361,000. The spike in the latest reading was the biggest one-week rise in those filing for help since September 2005, in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.

The four-week average of those filing for help for the first time reached 383,750, up 11,750 from the previous week. That less volatile reading is watched by economists because it is not as subject to short-term spikes and drops.

The Labor Department did not break out the specific impact of the storm on the report. Hurricane Sandy hit the New York, New Jersey and Connecticut area on Oct. 29, causing widespread and prolonged power outages that resulted in a delay in those filing for first-time unemployment benefits the previous week. It also caused temporary layoffs for others as their employers were forced to close.

Related: Sandy victims can get unemployment help

While many workers, especially salaried staff, were kept on payrolls while their employers were shut for lack of power, there were many hourly and contract workers who weren't being paid while they were out of work. If they were off long enough, they could file for unemployment benefits, even if they layoffs are temporarily.

Related: Sandy's cost to the economy

"There's a lot of businesses that got wiped out and their workers got wiped out," said economist Robert Brusca of FAO Economics. "It will take a while for us to tell how long-term this is. I don't have any problem chalking this up to the hurricane. But that doesn't mean the hurricane can't have significant long-term impact on the economy. Of course it can."

Estimates for the total economic and property losses from Hurricane Sandy are as high as $50 billion. But many economists believe the drag on the economy from that loss of wealth and decreased business activity will be balanced out by the money that will be spent repairing and rebuilding the areas damaged by the storm in the weeks and months ahead.

The national unemployment rate was 7.9% in October, as 12.3 million people were counted as officially unemployed. However, not all of those people receive benefits.

As of the latest week available, 3.3 million people filed claims for their second week or more of jobless benefits. That's down almost 300,000 from a year ago. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 8:50 AM ET


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Inflation remains tame in October

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Inflation remained tame in October, as gas prices fell during the month.

The Consumer Price Index, which measures a broad basket of consumer goods, showed prices rose 0.1% in October, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Year-over-year, prices were up 2.2%.

"The message of the CPI report is that overall inflation remains quite subdued," said Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets. "Gasoline prices have eased off and food prices are not rising as quickly as we would have thought in response to the Midwest drought."

Falling gas prices were one of the biggest factors subduing inflation. At the end of October, the national average for a gallon of unleaded gas stood at $3.52, down 26 cents from the end of September, according to the AAA Fuel Gauge Report.

Check gas prices in your state

Meanwhile, food prices rose 0.2% in October and are up 1.7% from a year earlier.

Economists often prefer to look at an inflation rate that strips out volatile gas and food prices. That measure, called core CPI, rose 0.2% in October. Year-over-year, core CPI was up 2%.

Shelter prices, excluding energy, rose 0.3% in October, the largest monthly increase since 2008.

"There is some modest upward drift in rents," Guatieri said. "I don't think it's too worrisome yet, and it's reflecting a tightening rental market and improving housing market."

Apparel prices rose, medical prices remained flat, and prices for both new and used vehicles fell.

Related: Fed hints at more bond buying sprees

Tamer inflation leaves the door open for more action from the The Federal Reserve. Although the Fed looks at a separate measure of inflation -- the personal consumption expenditures index -- that rate also shows prices are rising only modestly. As of September, PCE prices were up just 1.7% compared to a year earlier, below the Fed's annual inflation target of 2%.

"That's important for the Fed because as long as inflation remains in check, it can throw everything it has at accelerating the decline in the unemployment rate," Guatieri said.

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting, released Wednesday, show some officials are in favor of launching more asset purchases, after a current policy known as Operation Twist ends in December. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 8:50 AM ET


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Eurozone slips back into recession

LONDON (CNNMoney) -- The eurozone has slipped into recession for a second time in four years, as the sharp fall in activity in debt-ridden southern Europe economies weighed on output across the region.

Eurostat's first reading of gross domestic product for the three months ended in September showed a contraction of 0.1% in the eurozone, after a decline of 0.2% in the second quarter -- confirming the 17-nation currency area is back in recession for the first time since 2009.

Efforts by governments and households to reduce debt, rising unemployment and uncertainty over the fate of weaker members of the eurozone are depressing activity.

Leading economies Germany and France managed to eke out modest growth, but the pace of German economic expansion slowed to 0.2% in the third quarter, from 0.3% in the second, confirming evidence of a deceleration seen in export and industrial production data.

France delivered a positive surprise, posting growth of 0.2% compared with expectations for a flat performance. But Italy remained stuck in recession and economists warned that the near-term outlook for the region was poor.

"Today's GDP figures clearly demonstrate that the eurozone economy as a whole is in desperate need of macroeconomic stimulus," ING economist Martin van Vliet said Thursday.

"With policymakers seemingly reluctant to engineer a coordinated pull-back from fiscal austerity, more monetary stimulus and a weaker currency is likely to be needed to put the eurozone back on a path of sustained growth," he added.

Pressure on prices in the eurozone is easing, Eurostat data showed. Annual inflation in October was 2.5%, compared with 2.6% in September.

The European Central Bank last week held interest rates at 0.75%, citing balanced risks to inflation, but acknowledged there was a risk growth would be downgraded and underscored it stood ready to use the full range of monetary policy instruments at its disposal.

Related: Europe's central banks hold fire, for now

The European Commission has slashed its forecast for 2013 growth to just 0.1%. The ECB issues its own revised forecasts next month.

"Europe's current policy settings seem incompatible with a notable economic recovery over a meaningful time frame, and in peripheral markets the outlook is for depression rather than recession," Nomura economists said in their global outlook this week. "Needless to say, Europe's inability to grow means that solvency concerns will remain elevated in the peripheral economies in 2013."

The ECB calmed market nerves about the eurozone crisis earlier this year with its plan to buy the bonds of heavily indebted governments, provided they apply for a formal bailout program.

The bank's Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) program, as the bond purchase plan is known, drove down yields and kept open access to international markets for countries such as Spain.

But spreads on sovereign debt some of the southern European states have begun to widen again recently as investors worry that the austerity measures are becoming self-defeating, meaning fiscal targets won't be met.

The yield on Spain's 10-year bonds has increased to around 5.9%, still below the peak of over 7.5% hit in July, but up from around 5.3% a month ago.

The European Union avoided recession in the quarter, registering growth of 0.1%, after a decline of 0.2% the previous quarter. The EU was helped by a stronger-than-expected performance in the United Kingdom thanks to one-time factors such as the London Olympics.

The Bank of England warned Wednesday that the U.K. economy may contract in the fourth quarter due to the effects of the eurozone crisis.

To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 5:52 AM ET


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The many maladies of Mercedes

(Fortune) -- Think Obama vs. Romney was a tight race? How about Mercedes-Benz's fight with BMW for 2012 sales supremacy in the U.S.?

Everyone from industry gurus to mere bystanders are following month-by-month sales unit-by-unit -- even without tracking polls. Consider this recent sampling of automotive headlines:

"Mercedes U.S. Sales Rise 7% to expand lead over BMW"

"Strong BMW sales in October narrows Mercedes' lead"

"Mercedes Dangles $5,000 VIP Discounts to Hold U.S. Lead over BMW."

"BMW bets on 3 Series to outsell Mercedes-Benz"

Neither of the German automakers is reluctant to use Election Day tactics to nudge the final results their way. Last year, both Mercedes and BMW delayed releasing their 2011 sales numbers for 24 hours in the hope of gaining the upper hand. BMW took the title by a narrow 2,700 vehicles after sweetening customer incentives by $200 in December.

The luxury race should be even more interesting this year, with the prospect that thousands of unsold luxury cars from Europe and China could make their way to the U.S. and ignite an aggressive price war.

MORE: 2014 cars: A very early preview

But just as larger issues got lost when political reporters focus on the horse race, the preoccupation with who sells more units in a given calendar year is choking out coverage of some longer-cycle problems that are afflicting one of the contestants in particular: Mercedes-Benz.

Mercedes likes to think of itself as the auto industry's leader, hence its advertising tag line "The best or nothing." Lately, critics have been focusing on the second half of that slogan.

The Stuttgart giant has been wounded by a variety of woes, including an aging product line, a longstanding weakness in small cars, and abrupt slowdowns in export markets, notably China.

But in recent days, analysts have been drilling down to three more fundamental issues:

1. Mercedes cars cost too much to make.

2. Mercedes is spending too much to attract customers.

3. Mercedes customers are shopping elsewhere anyway, indicating a loss of fascination in the three-pointed star.

The signals are impossible to ignore. Consider profitability. For 2012's third quarter, BMW reported a pre-tax profit margin on its auto business of 9.6%. That was below analysts' estimates of 9.9% and well below the 11.9% of a year ago.

But BMW was in high clover compared to Mercedes. Daimler, Mercedes' corporate parent, reported a pre-tax margin on its auto business of just 6.4%, indicating Mercedes was spending too much and charging too little. Some analysts believe its operating margins are headed to 5% in short order.

Mercedes' profit problem is easy to diagnose: It has too many workers building too few cars. Credit Suisse analyst Arndt Ellinghorst, quoted in the Detroit News, said Mercedes needs 40% more workers to produce 20% fewer cars than BMW -- an enormous disparity. The productivity difference shows up in labor costs measured as a percent of revenues. Ellinghorst figures labor costs at Daimler have reached 16.4% of sales versus 11.2% for BMW. Worse, Mercedes' high-cost product line has a hard time attracting customers without heavy discounting. It has been cutting prices like Wal-mart in a downward spiral that has been worsening for a decade.

Ten years ago, Mercedes discounted the sticker prices of its cars sold in the U.S by just 5.1%, according to data compiled by Edmunds.com.

So far in 2012, Mercedes' discounts have been running at 11% -- not far from its all-time high of 12.8% in 2009.

MORE: 4 new myths of the auto world

BMW isn't blameless -- it has accelerated its discounting too. But Mercedes' other luxury competitors are doing a better job of holding the line. Over the past decade, Lexus' discounts have grown from 4% to 9% while Audi's price-cutting has actually declined from 7.7% to 6.4% of sticker.

While all that discounting has propped up sales, it hasn't created much customer loyalty.

After reviewing Edmuunds.com data on cross-shopping, Jessica Caldwell, who handles pricing and industry analysis for the car shopping site, noticed that Mercedes, as a brand, has a higher percentage of shoppers who look at competitive brands than competitive brand shoppers who look at Mercedes.

Caldwell looked at cross-shop data during the last week of September for two key entry-level models, Mercedes' C-class and BMW's 3-series. She discovered the relationship between the two models was lopsided: Twice as many C-Class shoppers consider buying a 3-Series as vice-versa. Says Caldwell: "That is quite an imbalance in BMW's favor."

Caldwell goes on: "Those are the volume models for both brands, and I thought it would be a closer relationship especially since Mercedes has introduced the trim levels for the C-class that can offer fairly compelling lease payments."

MORE: GM's fearless bid to trounce BMW

Is all this making too much of too little? After all, Mercedes didn't get to be 126 years old by sitting on its hands, and Daimler chairman Dieter Zetsche, who also runs Mercedes, has launched an ambitious revival plan.

Zetsche wants to more than double Mercedes sales to 2.7 million by 2020 in order to make it the world's best-selling maker of premium automobiles. He's also pledged that its operating profit margin would grow more than 10% in 2020.

We'll see. In October, Daimler lowered its forecast for 2012 and scrapped its 2013 profitability goals, which aimed to achieve a 10% operating margin for Mercedes. Analyst Ellinghorst was apoplectic: "I'm simply shocked ... The management of Daimler is disappointing once more."

Either boosting sales or raising margins by themselves would be easy. Doing both is tough. Daimler has reportedly extended Zetsche's contract three years to 2016, but it may be up to his successor to make good on his pledge.

Meanwhile, here is horse race update: In U.S. sales through October, Mercedes led 232,671 to BMW's 212,848. Stay tuned for a big December get-out-the-shoppers drive -- followed by a January recount. To top of page

First Published: November 15, 2012: 10:24 AM ET


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